Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89cf34fd00386d07db684faa5cdaa630686a1c7c683dfd0664a47a9e9fe9c1f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 44c | 37,370$16,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,333.36 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes | 48c | 16,739$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 44c | 13,500$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 56c | 10,048$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.67 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 8,966$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 7,968$4,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 7,398$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.64 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 54c | 7,031$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.12 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 54c | 4,945$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 4,292$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.31 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 53c | 4,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.97 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 3,539$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.42 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 3,484$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.38 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 3,362$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.66 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 52c | 2,149$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.28 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 2,003$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.65 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,866$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 5c | 1,177$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 49c | 1,138$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.35 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Yes | 47c | 1,071$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 55c | 1,061$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.49 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 48c | 1,028$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 961$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 961$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 961$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 50c | 914.52$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 837.71$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.78 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 61c | 728.61$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.7 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…47b6backed Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 48c | 665.05$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.62 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Yes | 37c | 657$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 634.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 53c | 608.4$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.57 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 61c | 508.55$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 465.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6f…5b81backed Yes | 18c | 464.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 53c | 434.56$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.52 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Yes | 46c | 393.1$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 57c | 377$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 20c | 352.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 350.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.73 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 71c | 323.82$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 31c | 322.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 52c | 288.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 57c | 272.42$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 79c | 251.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 250.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Yes | 44c | 239.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 229.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Yes | 42c | 210.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 68c | 209.32$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 51c | 207.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 56c | 201.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 52c | 176$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 54c | 160.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed No | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 56c | 133.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked No | 41c | 132.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 132.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…3e4cbacked Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 68c | 127.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 80c | 125.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 63c | 123.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf894…8867backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Yes | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…2895backed Yes | 48c | 113.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 44c | 111.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 56c | 102.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 44c | 93.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 35c | 77.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed No | 54c | 76.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 56c | 75.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 68c | 75.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…cce5backed Yes | 48c | 70.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 58c | 69.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…5d2bbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed No | 55c | 60.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 51.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 43c | 51.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.