Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a360271dd61544910652379608f6a5b933f56cf132649b88e2072eab80dce5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 3,184$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.14 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 2,574$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.17 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,670$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 33c | 1,435$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.21 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 75c | 1,328$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.34 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 66c | 1,177$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.72 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 935.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 769.37$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.72 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 65c | 709.1$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.45 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed No | 74c | 655.68$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 544.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.93 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 32c | 424$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 26c | 385.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.25 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 293.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.41 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 71c | 279.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 28c | 205.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 27c | 185.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 185.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 170.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 167.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 25c | 125.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 123.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 94.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 27c | 92.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…6477backed Yes | 71c | 84.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 72c | 82.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 68c | 69.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 30c | 67.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 76c | 65.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 27c | 58.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Yes | 68c | 44.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…b2e3backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 68c | 37.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Yes | 69c | 33.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 75c | 32.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 27.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 25.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…332ebacked Yes | 73c | 20.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 74c | 13.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?this page
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-25?No won
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.