Mls · resolved market
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ea511c63f9a0900928498318e60c2304dbd223bd268a9bfa215a02015d47dce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 48c | 73,792$35,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,477.17 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…8624backed No | 0c | 71,483$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 52c | 19,216$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 52c | 16,392$8,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,523.65 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 52c | 15,398$8,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,007.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 7,700$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.97 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 43c | 6,434$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.48 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 53c | 5,200$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.32 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 3,524$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.4 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 66c | 2,973$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.1 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 31c | 2,102$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.93 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 30c | 2,085$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.77 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 2,046$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.24 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 65c | 1,513$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.49 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 70c | 1,407$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.24 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 64c | 1,097$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.15 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 24c | 971.11$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.08 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 52c | 950$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 48c | 836.13$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.95 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 19c | 808.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.35 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 21c | 678.16$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.29 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 78c | 676.33$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.22 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 24c | 637.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 47c | 587.82$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.72 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…9401backed Yes | 71c | 483$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.41 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 14c | 442.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.96 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 58c | 439.84$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 67c | 413$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 52c | 410.11$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.26 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 44c | 406$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.12 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 35c | 387.04$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Yes | 49c | 370$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 10c | 348.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.52per pick | 33cpaid | +231.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 5c | 347.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 32c | 345.07$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 325.89$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.72 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 47c | 325.89$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 48c | 320$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 319.79$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.34 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 53c | 263.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 52c | 256$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 70c | 255$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Yes | 49c | 205.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 204.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked No | 32c | 198.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 63c | 196.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked No | 10c | 186.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 56c | 186.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 64c | 184.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 59c | 161.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 160.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 146.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 53c | 138$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed No | 53c | 135.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 46c | 132.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 52c | 124$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed No | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed No | 53c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 52c | 96.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 52c | 95.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 35c | 91.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 73c | 85.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Yes | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed No | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…60b9backed No | 55c | 74.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 68c | 65.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 52c | 62.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Yes | 74c | 57.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…cce5backed No | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Yes | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.