UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c35f0be9e047259312dea22f17b619e7b4af73f013b91ccfa82d929c2b337e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriel Bonfimof Belal Muhammad, Gabriel Bonfim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,640,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,753,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,640,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 751 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked Belal Muhammad | 53c | 400,000$211,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211,812.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Gabriel Bonfim | 48c | 239,390$114,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,725.03 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Belal Muhammad | 51c | 159,596$81,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,222.37 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Gabriel Bonfim | 47c | 158,148$74,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,724.02 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 49c | 144,443$70,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,777.04 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 140,674$70,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,272.59 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Gabriel Bonfim | 50c | 66,028$32,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,036.56 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Belal Muhammad | 50c | 60,881$30,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,653.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Belal Muhammad | 53c | 49,972$26,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,485.28 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Belal Muhammad | 1c | 45,790$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.15 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Belal Muhammad | 52c | 45,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,400 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gabriel Bonfim | 47c | 33,241$15,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,668.12 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Gabriel Bonfim | 48c | 23,886$11,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,537.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gabriel Bonfim | 59c | 21,788$12,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,027.14 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Gabriel Bonfim | 47c | 21,100$9,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,183 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Gabriel Bonfim | 50c | 21,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 50c | 20,284$10,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,142.17 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 19,322$9,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,467.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Gabriel Bonfim | 72c | 18,545$13,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.64 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 17,200$8,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,513.84 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Belal Muhammad | 45c | 13,581$6,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,138.72 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Gabriel Bonfim | 48c | 13,201$6,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,865.99 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 12,771$6,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,257.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +146%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Gabriel Bonfim | 55c | 12,390$6,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.92 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Belal Muhammad | 68c | 12,214$8,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,258.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Gabriel Bonfim | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Belal Muhammad | 41c | 10,576$4,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,343.17 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Belal Muhammad | 51c | 10,072$5,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,136.83 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Gabriel Bonfim | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.96 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gabriel Bonfim | 76c | 9,618$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.1 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…e126backed Belal Muhammad | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Gabriel Bonfim | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 7,270$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 6,852$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.19 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Belal Muhammad | 8c | 6,055$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Belal Muhammad | 22c | 5,938$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…94c8backed Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 5,844$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 5,666$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.63 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…baa0backed Belal Muhammad | 49c | 5,465$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.1 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Belal Muhammad | 14c | 5,325$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.51 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Belal Muhammad | 49c | 5,135$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.36 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 47c | 5,132$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.6 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Belal Muhammad | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Gabriel Bonfim | 49c | 4,703$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.16 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Belal Muhammad | 44c | 4,595$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…3561backed Belal Muhammad | 4c | 4,392$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Gabriel Bonfim | 48c | 4,379$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Belal Muhammad | 49c | 4,250$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Gabriel Bonfim | 76c | 4,202$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.24 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Gabriel Bonfim | 48c | 4,086$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Gabriel Bonfim | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…c9fabacked Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 3,840$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Gabriel Bonfim | 50c | 3,727$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.34 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Belal Muhammad | 51c | 3,500$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Gabriel Bonfim | 44c | 3,093$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.12 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Belal Muhammad | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…e8ffbacked Belal Muhammad | 48c | 2,995$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Belal Muhammad | 50c | 2,961$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.19 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Belal Muhammad | 54c | 2,917$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.18 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Gabriel Bonfim | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Belal Muhammad | 48c | 2,691$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Gabriel Bonfim | 68c | 2,615$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.2 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Belal Muhammad | 55c | 2,576$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Belal Muhammad | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Gabriel Bonfim | 57c | 2,486$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Belal Muhammad | 52c | 2,446$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.86 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Belal Muhammad | 41c | 2,339$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Belal Muhammad | 32c | 2,273$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Gabriel Bonfim | 46c | 2,184$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.56 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…eecebacked Belal Muhammad | 64c | 2,090$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 2,060$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Gabriel Bonfim | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Belal Muhammad | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Gabriel Bonfim | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Belal Muhammad | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Belal Muhammad | 51c | 1,981$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 1,980$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…c28bbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 1,972$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gabriel Bonfim | 38c | 1,971$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.06 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Gabriel Bonfim | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Belal Muhammad | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Belal Muhammad | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…5a2fbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 49c | 1,872$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Belal Muhammad | 18c | 1,863$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Gabriel Bonfim | 64c | 1,754$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Belal Muhammad | 61c | 1,717$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.02 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Belal Muhammad win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Gabriel Bonfim win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.