TailMyPicks

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UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alessandro Costaof Matt Schnell, Alessandro Costa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$911,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$881,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $911,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Alessandro Costa80c400,042$318,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,219.747454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Matt Schnell20c150,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00019154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Matt Schnell21c133,333$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,999.935044%22 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Matt Schnell20c100,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Alessandro Costa80c80,336$64,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,261.085149%25 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Matt Schnell21c50,054$10,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,511.33040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Matt Schnell21c48,129$10,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,104.3713452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Matt Schnell20c30,949$6,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,169.2329133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Matt Schnell21c25,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Matt Schnell20c20,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00037152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Alessandro Costa80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Matt Schnell21c7,442$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.116244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Matt Schnell21c7,401$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.217128.2%20 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Matt Schnell21c6,250$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.53625%9 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3695…c66cbacked Alessandro Costa80c5,600$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Alessandro Costa77c4,017$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.9120248.5%98 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Matt Schnell23c3,150$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.535826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Alessandro Costa78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.979247.8%44 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Alessandro Costa80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Alessandro Costa79c2,301$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.21366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Matt Schnell23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alessandro Costa79c1,853$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1315444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Matt Schnell21c1,720$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick27cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Matt Schnell17c1,615$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.427247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Matt Schnell19c1,366$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4642054%227 W · 193 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Matt Schnell22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Matt Schnell22c1,300$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2867237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Alessandro Costa79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Alessandro Costa80c1,242$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.413571.4%25 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Matt Schnell22c1,136$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alessandro Costa80c1,127$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4826736%96 W · 171 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Matt Schnell20c1,065$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.027159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked Matt Schnell21c1,019$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2141258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Matt Schnell21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105036%18 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Matt Schnell20c950$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19014558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Matt Schnell21c930.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Matt Schnell22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Matt Schnell19c897.11$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4511761.5%72 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Matt Schnell16c872.81$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8315933.3%53 W · 106 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Matt Schnell18c855$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.92630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x676b…5bc3backed Alessandro Costa80c812.5$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.53959%23 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Alessandro Costa80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Alessandro Costa79c764.84$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.62850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Alessandro Costa79c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.499756.7%55 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Matt Schnell20c744$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.87244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Alessandro Costa80c651.81$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.363053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Matt Schnell22c641.02$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.023650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93cb…32c0backed Matt Schnell20c620$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Matt Schnell21c618.95$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.982445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Matt Schnell21c584.28$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0713836.2%50 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Alessandro Costa79c570$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.78851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011d…3d2fbacked Alessandro Costa80c507.83$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.579746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Matt Schnell18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-63.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Alessandro Costa79c499.87$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Matt Schnell20c460.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.082733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Matt Schnell22c459.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10126140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Alessandro Costa79c435$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3530964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35c4…c28bbacked Matt Schnell22c407.73$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d0…6ab2backed Matt Schnell16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Alessandro Costa79c391.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3236655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…3b17backed Alessandro Costa80c382.14$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.436953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Matt Schnell21c380.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Alessandro Costa80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7518647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Matt Schnell19c333.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3856450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Matt Schnell14c331.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4827448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed Matt Schnell21c310.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Matt Schnell16c310.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e4…a2ccbacked Alessandro Costa79c298.7$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.73540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Alessandro Costa79c295$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.958551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Alessandro Costa78c291.16$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.058851.1%45 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0941…b254backed Matt Schnell19c286.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3b…fc0bbacked Matt Schnell21c275.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.782147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Matt Schnell20c273.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.726743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Alessandro Costa79c255$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.112038.3%46 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff97…e7cabacked Alessandro Costa78c254.72$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7111078.2%86 W · 24 L+15.6wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x41f1…3111backed Alessandro Costa80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Alessandro Costa80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011364.6%73 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Matt Schnell20c249.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014132.6%46 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Matt Schnell21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Matt Schnell22c238.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.381553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…a4e7backed Matt Schnell21c224.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+140.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Matt Schnell8c223.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.632540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Matt Schnell21c222.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Matt Schnell23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a74…ae2bbacked Matt Schnell22c217.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Alessandro Costa80c216.51$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.982948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6170…da27backed Matt Schnell21c212$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Matt Schnell18c208.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.541030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Alessandro Costa79c207.26$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5311657.8%67 W · 49 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Matt Schnell21c206.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Matt Schnell20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…1fa7backed Matt Schnell21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426750.7%34 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Matt Schnell21c199.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd292…07f8backed Matt Schnell21c199.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f44…bc79backed Matt Schnell21c195.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416729.9%20 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae4…714cbacked Alessandro Costa80c184.42$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.884100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Matt Schnell16c179.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3933132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0538…db33backed Matt Schnell16c175$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Matt Schnell19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Matt Schnell21c151.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.823342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.