South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80cbc59cb20d2a3bde7635026a44f9c30e181d9922a03a355ef82c6b182db06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Barracas Centralof CA River Plate, CA Barracas Central
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed CA River Plate | 46c | 21,705$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Barracas Central | 72c | 7,016$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Barracas Central | 53c | 6,125$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked CA Barracas Central | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CA Barracas Central | 56c | 2,700$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.99 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CA River Plate | 34c | 2,051$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.47 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA River Plate | 2c | 1,548$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Barracas Central | 62c | 1,444$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.94 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed CA Barracas Central | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CA Barracas Central | 53c | 495$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed CA Barracas Central | 59c | 339.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed CA Barracas Central | 57c | 293.16$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 290$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked CA River Plate | 15c | 289.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 215.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked CA Barracas Central | 69c | 185.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed CA Barracas Central | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed CA Barracas Central | 53c | 174$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked CA River Plate | 43c | 163.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed CA Barracas Central | 54c | 144$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed CA Barracas Central | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed CA Barracas Central | 74c | 113.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CA Barracas Central | 54c | 108.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed CA Barracas Central | 60c | 101.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked CA Barracas Central | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CA River Plate | 35c | 79.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked CA Barracas Central | 56c | 69.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…cce5backed CA River Plate | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed CA Barracas Central | 63c | 61.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed CA Barracas Central | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CA Barracas Central | 55c | 53.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked CA Barracas Central | 52c | 50.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CA River Plate | 44c | 41.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed CA Barracas Central | 53c | 39.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed CA River Plate | 42c | 39.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed CA Barracas Central | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked CA Barracas Central | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed CA Barracas Central | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed CA Barracas Central | 59c | 24.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed CA Barracas Central | 67c | 15.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)this page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA Barracas Central 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA River Plate O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.