South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51be0aac9cd1b52e9438e58d6f6e374e713a3365337f2be37cfa71b9f63cbe13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Over | 41c | 23,543$9,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,652.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Under | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 6,260$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 34c | 4,896$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.7 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 2,607$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.43 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 2,408$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.35 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 42c | 2,329$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.94 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 1,505$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 1,339$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.45 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 42c | 1,008$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.95 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 59c | 825.42$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.42 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 784.2$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.26 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 779.23$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.11 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 40c | 749.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 60c | 698.66$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 29c | 646.16$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 30c | 449.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 61c | 432.6$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 49c | 369.16$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.27 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 33c | 352.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 31c | 351.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 59c | 288$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 59c | 272$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 58c | 263.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 59c | 220.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 62c | 215.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 59c | 204.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 49c | 200.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 78c | 166.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 164.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 57c | 145$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 62c | 140.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 13c | 133.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 61c | 123$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 119.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 10c | 118.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 60c | 113.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 46c | 110.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 42c | 105.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 24c | 99.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 57c | 74.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 68.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 58c | 67.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 57c | 62.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 42c | 39.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 40c | 38.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 49c | 30.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 41c | 26.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…759bbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 59c | 24.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 71c | 23.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 52c | 21.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 59c | 17.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…b6d3backed Under | 68c | 16.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 16.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA Barracas Central 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA River Plate O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.