South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA River Plate O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5872399119a8eef0f404fed306a8053b37fe77db6f0e722615ffcc9db71805b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.93 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,553$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over | 57c | 1,139$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 706.05$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.11 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 45c | 218.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 52c | 100.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 92.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 59.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 48c | 50.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 58c | 36.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 48c | 29.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 44c | 23.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA River Plate O/U 1.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA Barracas Central 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA River Plate O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.