TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,120 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over30c7,000$2,093 inLost-$2,092.6414829.7%44 W · 104 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c4,844$3,391 inWon+$1,453.25,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c1,121$779 inWon+$341.568,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c312.67$224 inWon+$88.523,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under71c312.11$220 inWon+$92.071,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under72c311$223 inWon+$87.872,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under70c250$175 inWon+$7530754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under13c249.77$33 inWon+$216.6512340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Over28c206.14$58 inLost-$57.7218543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over29c146.62$42 inLost-$42.033438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over39c100$39 inLost-$391668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under73c73.93$54 inWon+$19.9669453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under70c72$50 inWon+$21.619559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Under73c62.66$46 inWon+$16.928375.9%63 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under72c59.82$43 inWon+$16.7540451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Over25c59.04$15 inLost-$155123.5%12 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under73c58.02$42 inWon+$15.673844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under73c56.77$41 inWon+$15.3314753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde05…e2d0backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon+$16.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under72c34.72$25 inWon+$9.7264633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under70c27$19 inWon+$8.112757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under70c18$13 inWon+$5.422058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under73c15.49$11 inWon+$4.189350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.