South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9eaf55f8818b0a864901735010ef4fce1294db7c1eddd016e877ae906efa744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 8,213$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 47c | 6,122$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.42 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 47c | 2,494$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.27 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 47c | 2,245$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.46 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,881$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 39c | 1,587$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.95 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 76c | 1,236$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.01 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.94 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 53c | 912.19$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.73 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 56c | 799.99$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.99 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 31c | 785.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.09 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 68c | 734.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 67c | 646.71$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.83 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 79c | 619.3$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.25 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 67c | 573.7$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 65c | 500$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.3 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 56c | 412.31$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.64 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 403.76$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 52c | 401.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.64 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 52c | 400$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.07 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Over | 72c | 392.85$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 39c | 324.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 33c | 288.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6044…f1d0backed Over | 54c | 255$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 33c | 240$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 41c | 239.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 33c | 239.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 28c | 215.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.78 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 67c | 215.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 62c | 213.9$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Under | 17c | 208.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 42c | 205.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 45c | 199.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 27c | 170.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 66c | 162.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 155.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 45c | 145.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 53c | 136.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 50c | 129.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 48c | 113.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Over | 64c | 109.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 73c | 106.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Under | 52c | 104.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 55c | 102.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 93.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 52c | 77.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 25c | 76.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 52c | 76.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 43c | 74.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 63c | 71.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 41c | 67.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 75c | 60.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 71c | 59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…5c42backed Over | 67c | 57.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 56.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 68c | 52.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 51c | 51.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 58c | 38.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 36.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 44c | 36.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 33c | 35.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 50c | 33.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Over | 71c | 31.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…d00fbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Under | 68c | 28.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Over | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 67c | 15.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA Barracas Central 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: CA River Plate O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.