Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c05bb739c64c34bf757b9cc107b627dbf0ced2c31063e071f5e6e2ac4c1de0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 29c | 11,979$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.98 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 71c | 7,460$5,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.6 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 29c | 4,184$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.63 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 4,120$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.67 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 71c | 1,691$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.03 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 35c | 1,620$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.89 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Under | 77c | 1,292$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 71c | 1,145$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.13 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 66c | 1,112$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.67 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Under | 71c | 1,000$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.55 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 71c | 789.71$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 27c | 772.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 34c | 547.59$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 73c | 547.44$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Under | 64c | 531.55$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 34c | 505$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.7 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 30c | 499.76$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Under | 75c | 400.84$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 30c | 391.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 59c | 375.62$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked Under | 70c | 354.93$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 225 | 32.4%73 W · 152 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…1ec0backed Under | 71c | 308.85$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 35c | 306.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 37c | 252.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Under | 74c | 251$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 66c | 223.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 45c | 218.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 48c | 170.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 37c | 165$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Under | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 62c | 139.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 26c | 136$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Under | 66c | 126.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 120.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Under | 56c | 115.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +26.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Under | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Under | 70c | 100.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 34c | 96.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 29c | 90.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Over | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 185 | 55.1%102 W · 83 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 85.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Under | 53c | 80.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 28c | 78.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…d45fbacked Under | 69c | 72.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 209 | 60.8%127 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 39c | 71.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 38c | 71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 65.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…cce5backed Under | 71c | 56.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…7358backed Under | 76c | 50.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 65c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd5…5bf5backed Over | 37c | 26.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Under | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…afc9backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.