TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panamaof England, Panama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,063,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,984,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,063,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 940 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Panama57c454,111$257,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196,544.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed England45c335,909$152,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,509.1922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Panama56c223,548$124,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,711.7851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed England45c200,001$89,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,652.869142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed England38c173,533$65,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,189.534,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Panama58c167,980$98,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,818.141,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Panama54c159,349$86,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,248.2815456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked England43c97,110$42,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,116.2320844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked England45c80,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,00014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed England43c74,019$31,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,708.2717550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England44c70,504$30,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,791.372,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed England40c62,881$25,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,076.6926320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed England45c50,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,50017748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Panama55c47,538$26,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,392.1674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Panama75c46,640$35,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,581.0910550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed England46c45,000$20,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,70017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Panama59c42,468$25,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,351.5277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England19c41,661$7,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,955.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed England44c40,820$17,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,960.89747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Panama55c39,999$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,999.717852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England26c28,993$7,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,433.171,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked England45c27,752$12,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,388.3923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked England29c22,367$6,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,578.733,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Panama54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9615950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed England43c18,605$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked England44c18,127$7,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,975.697757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d1…64a7backed England42c17,931$7,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,558.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Panama55c17,500$9,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,874.9621937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England42c16,176$6,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,733.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked England45c15,476$6,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,964.013842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked England45c15,467$6,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,959.9733549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Panama56c14,286$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,285.718944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Panama56c13,929$7,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,112.992,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked England44c13,466$5,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,925.198158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England44c12,798$5,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,596.782,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Panama55c12,727$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,727.279948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed England43c11,581$5,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,012.0621849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Panama73c10,985$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.4417443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed England45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50011443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Panama56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panama55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked England44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4008735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Panama55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9810840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Panama55c9,692$5,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,357.0847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Panama79c9,635$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.8765948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed England46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Panama56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.5710457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked England29c8,921$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.2153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panama59c8,359$4,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Panama55c8,298$4,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,715.0848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Panama57c8,282$4,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,561.2617447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed England44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Panama55c7,915$4,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,561.7528162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panama61c7,752$4,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,043.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed England45c7,154$3,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.419345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…540bbacked England45c7,144$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.84358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked England45c7,099$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.554151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed England45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1509846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed England43c6,977$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked England45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.1522451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked England46c6,666$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.3636123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Panama57c6,200$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.998453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked England45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed England41c5,837$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.41,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked England45c5,556$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Panama55c5,355$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.967754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed England21c5,139$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.924,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed England45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25010736.4%39 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed England44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked England34c5,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.9922943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed England43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9638526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Panama57c4,964$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.4832647.9%156 W · 170 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Panama57c4,780$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.6933548.4%162 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed England42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked England49c4,656$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.2116050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked England44c4,512$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.31,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked England45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked England45c4,378$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec44…2b71backed England45c4,363$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+111.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed England45c4,347$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.313026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed Panama57c4,169$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.2422047.7%105 W · 115 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed England45c4,093$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.047416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked England39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x300f…7d96backed England44c3,864$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England31c3,744$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.541,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed England39c3,730$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.5510849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa88f…66febacked England44c3,680$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Panama55c3,600$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.2947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Panama56c3,545$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.5444144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…dec9backed Panama56c3,500$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.725050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7c…f44dbacked England43c3,421$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.1413827.5%38 W · 100 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Panama56c3,346$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.3110056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panama55c3,278$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.8550243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d2…73b8backed England45c3,248$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed England44c3,200$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.9937850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…df19backed England45c3,111$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed England44c2,944$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.3626454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed England44c2,800$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Panama56c2,725$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.029839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked England44c2,682$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18013857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.