Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66d453e8d3f605644cd9d5a7c6c4b113fc895469710716b33ac8512b0fbab1d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 45c | 1,516$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.67 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +6.1wins | +0.38per pick | 43cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 68c | 769.55$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.47 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 644.24$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.04 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 71c | 628.41$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 29c | 560.01$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 67c | 511$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 33c | 402.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Over | 70c | 287.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Over | 27c | 253.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 8c | 230.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Under | 26c | 203.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 60c | 148$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 62c | 118$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked Under | 67c | 117$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 116.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 57c | 115.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 100.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 97.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 32c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc20…8ed3backed Under | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…24febacked Under | 68c | 72.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 20c | 62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 34c | 58.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Over | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 70c | 45.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Under | 28c | 44.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Over | 33c | 38.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 70c | 33.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 53c | 31.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6d75backed Over | 68c | 26.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…b8ccbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.