TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Panamaof England, Panama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,820 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94d7…bef5backed England15c50,054$7,508 inLost-$7,508.0326320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed England0c45,232$169 inLost-$169.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed England14c3,214$437 inLost-$437.4213043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked England2c3,064$73 inLost-$73.152,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed England14c2,144$300 inLost-$30018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed England11c2,000$220 inLost-$22038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked England11c1,362$146 inLost-$146.0943139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed England13c700$91 inLost-$911926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692d…42b1backed England15c628.47$94 inLost-$94.272313%3 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-65%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed England10c617.05$62 inLost-$61.7136031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked England13c569.23$74 inLost-$7420544.9%92 W · 113 L+14.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed England14c500$70 inLost-$7060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed England12c500$60 inLost-$6022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed England15c433.33$65 inLost-$656116.4%10 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed England13c384.62$50 inLost-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed England14c332.62$48 inLost-$47.6610133.7%34 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked England15c290.1$43 inLost-$42.752528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed England15c238.98$35 inLost-$35.081723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked England16c190$30 inLost-$306918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed England14c143.21$20 inLost-$2029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed England13c134.62$17 inLost-$17.518028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked England12c125$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked England13c100$13 inLost-$13.2618426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed England15c70.73$11 inLost-$10.6122622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.