Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. England: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aae23db0923b08c0846244810de31bf0fb2d81f32c8c4838b8660e0ad3eaa27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Under | 5c | 13,163$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.3 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 3c | 10,794$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.83 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 10c | 10,048$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.69 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Under | 3c | 9,923$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.07 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Under | 3c | 5,987$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 3c | 5,431$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 9c | 5,155$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.65 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Under | 3c | 5,150$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 4c | 5,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 14c | 4,609$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.04 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 5c | 4,507$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 3c | 4,444$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 3c | 2,927$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 21c | 2,472$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.21 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Under | 3c | 2,332$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 11c | 2,044$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 14c | 2,010$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.14 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…f5e0backed Under | 3c | 1,923$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 3c | 1,904$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 3c | 1,751$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 15c | 1,596$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Under | 3c | 1,589$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 4c | 1,481$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Over | 80c | 1,300$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 3c | 1,218$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…7bebbacked Under | 12c | 1,124$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…74eabacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Under | 3c | 995.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Under | 3c | 953.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 9c | 950$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…dec4backed Over | 80c | 897.96$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 16c | 718.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 16c | 675$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 141 | 31.2%44 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 20c | 626.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 3c | 612.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 13c | 601.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Under | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 3c | 577.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 2c | 541.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 3c | 510.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4b…f0d4backed Under | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…5083backed Under | 3c | 455.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 7c | 453.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…78cfbacked Under | 14c | 369.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 18c | 292.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 7c | 247.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…88f0backed Under | 13c | 244.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…dc69backed Under | 17c | 241.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…5dd7backed Under | 5c | 223.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 7c | 219.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Under | 13c | 198$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 257 | 41.6%107 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Under | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 11c | 178.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Under | 15c | 166.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Under | 11c | 165.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 8c | 159.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…955ebacked Under | 14c | 144.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 14c | 144.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 125.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…6732backed Over | 80c | 125.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Under | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Under | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under | 17c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. England: O/U 0.5this page
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.