Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. England: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ccb8be0c43acb75990d0278d460993297f3fbb768ed60de900f3524e325c7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Over | 15c | 100,226$15,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,033.86 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 1c | 6,719$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 15c | 6,331$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Over | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 3,902$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.22 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 16c | 2,888$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.08 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 15c | 2,786$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.93 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Over | 8c | 2,529$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 14c | 2,150$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 15c | 1,476$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.47 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 13c | 1,384$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 14c | 1,212$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…31aebacked Over | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Over | 14c | 1,039$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 13c | 972.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 9c | 853.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 695$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 591.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 16c | 575.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 14c | 530.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Over | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 6c | 323.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 6c | 261.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 7c | 218.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…f042backed Over | 13c | 218.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…e859backed Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…daaebacked Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Over | 15c | 129.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…94ddbacked Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4b75backed Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…05e8backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…cb03backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…5267backed Over | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. England: O/U 5.5this page
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.