TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe72e…c780backed Under44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ec…0959backed Under59c822.54$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over46c753.79$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.482,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c574.08$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c382.74$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under46c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.521,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over57c194.6$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6816656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under44c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.681,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed Over49c126.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.531968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over50c120.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2551859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under37c86.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.992,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c9…529cbacked Under44c79.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.782634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under40c67.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.051,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c62.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.313,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over58c48.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.455076%38 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33f6…955ebacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over56c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2053448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6d75backed Over69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0cb…419fbacked Under44c40.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over51c28.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1970948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under42c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2617…4129backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.428554.1%46 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5516344.2%72 W · 91 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Over57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.569953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under49c23.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.522,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.