Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca7a19bf9fbcf52c8135c64a52a18101b907bd52be7f1d370c1b06f3e304158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72e…c780backed Under | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ec…0959backed Under | 59c | 822.54$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 46c | 753.79$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.48 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 574.08$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 382.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 57c | 194.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 44c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Over | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 50c | 120.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 37c | 86.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked Under | 44c | 79.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 40c | 67.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 62.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over | 58c | 48.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…955ebacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6d75backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Under | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 51c | 28.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Over | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 23.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.