TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,166,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,220,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,166,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 736 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b4e…0232backed Under53c223,501$118,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,389.953354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over47c190,799$90,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,083.6322348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Under52c120,494$62,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,837.317034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Under52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,999.838063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over47c85,106$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,00014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c82,624$45,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,180.832,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over45c81,448$36,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,820.1920844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c81,241$21,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,181.944,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under53c77,206$40,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,287.0232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over47c76,700$36,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,049.0551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Over49c61,666$30,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,216.348246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over47c60,000$28,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,20014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under60c47,176$28,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,925.3138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Under53c44,444$23,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,888.613661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under55c40,000$21,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,199.8215950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over46c39,157$17,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,947.812,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under53c36,530$19,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,169.164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over45c35,000$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,75027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over48c34,402$16,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,513.033339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c29,021$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.644,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c27,471$11,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,202.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Over47c27,400$12,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,8782458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Over47c27,400$12,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,8785745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over40c25,640$10,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,370.1977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under55c25,000$13,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,249.953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over45c22,222$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over45c22,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over0c21,333$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c15,472$8,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,265.141,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over28c15,280$4,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,234.331,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Over47c13,700$6,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4394348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c12,640$6,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,015.491,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over35c10,348$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.8810128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c10,250$4,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,742.862,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over43c9,474$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.7812536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over39c9,306$3,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,596.284025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under56c9,301$5,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,053.9642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Under54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.2616947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over46c9,000$4,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,109.957034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over47c8,511$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.177452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over48c7,622$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.0221849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over46c6,809$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,132.2712255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Under56c6,300$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.9713163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over14c5,624$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.5139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over48c5,449$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.131,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over45c5,348$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.4270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e6…82debacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002030%6 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under53c4,952$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.441,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under52c4,254$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.713554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c4,239$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under52c4,038$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.4611963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under77c3,930$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.414746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over48c3,800$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82422752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over48c3,677$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.9623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over29c3,456$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.3412248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over48c3,443$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.8818633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c3,390$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over29c3,353$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.471,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Under54c3,323$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.732647.9%156 W · 170 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under67c3,200$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.8958926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over48c3,200$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53637850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over47c3,132$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.8130431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under54c3,020$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed Under54c2,998$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.1422047.7%105 W · 115 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over48c2,944$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.1226454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over48c2,800$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c2,645$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.481,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over48c2,600$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2481,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over48c2,592$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.1618850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Under54c2,463$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.961050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over48c2,400$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under53c2,400$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12844144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Under54c2,222$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.1217636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c2,194$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.342,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Under53c2,154$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.5333548.4%162 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c2,147$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.312,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over16c2,136$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.352,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5605…a9efbacked Under75c2,127$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.832462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over46c2,118$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.137560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over23c2,065$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.271,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…0ad6backed Over45c2,014$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.53250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94031851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over14c2,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2909821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba0f…7cb9backed Under55c1,973$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7913445.5%61 W · 73 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Under53c1,868$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.929150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8510749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.857751.9%40 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over22c1,829$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.111,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Under64c1,810$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.6111638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.