TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,797 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over19c2,434$461 inLost-$460.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Over2c999$20 inLost-$19.985127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under78c957.33$751 inWon+$206.213,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under78c953.1$740 inWon+$212.763,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under79c500$395 inWon+$10595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under78c321.4$251 inWon+$70.7136448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over23c300$69 inLost-$6954917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under78c277.13$216 inWon+$61.0776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323b…df9abacked Over24c204.17$49 inLost-$497919%15 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over24c201.96$48 inLost-$48.4719713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under78c168.38$131 inWon+$37.0432855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under77c160$123 inWon+$36.81,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over16c112.5$18 inLost-$1819241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under78c91.66$71 inWon+$20.193,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Over24c83.33$20 inLost-$2012829.7%38 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under79c56.66$45 inWon+$11.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under79c50$40 inWon+$10.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under77c41.66$32 inWon+$9.5666056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under78c35$27 inWon+$7.611,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Under78c29.85$23 inWon+$6.5325655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1425…2060backed Under78c25.64$20 inWon+$5.641266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under78c25$20 inWon+$5.525948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under77c17.47$13 inWon+$3.981,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under78c14.25$11 inWon+$3.1386656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.