Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. England: England O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed20a72474088b372a12cccc677005ab6790c9d5b912ff9190fc422c363c743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 12,564$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 5c | 6,210$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.33 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 17c | 3,637$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.84 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 11c | 1,973$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 5c | 1,923$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 13c | 1,521$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.75 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 5c | 1,250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…9a68backed Under | 6c | 1,044$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 78c | 828.5$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.19 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 22c | 690$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 5c | 561.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 5c | 499.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 12c | 483.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841a…61adbacked Under | 13c | 467.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 5c | 357.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over | 80c | 336.75$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked Under | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 5c | 260.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 5c | 220.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 19c | 146.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over | 75c | 123.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 12c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 10c | 100.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…f874backed Over | 78c | 83.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 0.5this page
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.