Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08219bbbe16271b1d776cd78b73fdd580d40ac0c240843ee8b03ce569dce148d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Under | 29c | 1,745$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.04 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,720$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 1,487$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.82 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over | 78c | 1,274$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.39 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Over | 12c | 1,223$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 947.68$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…00fabacked Over | 76c | 797.37$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…449ebacked Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked Over | 76c | 740.16$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.52 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 525.63$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Over | 77c | 498.7$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 24c | 413.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.05 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…1647backed Over | 76c | 200.41$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…541fbacked Over | 48c | 186$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 68c | 183$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 75c | 173.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 68c | 161.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Over | 79c | 150.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 23c | 142.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over | 77c | 114.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Under | 25c | 105.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…141ebacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 51c | 94.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…be14backed Over | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 63.4%151 W · 87 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 24c | 73.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…5041backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 75c | 39.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 32c | 34.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Over | 75c | 33.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 62c | 30.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…72a8backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 56.6%137 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…ef2cbacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Over | 67c | 23.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…1f1fbacked Over | 77c | 16.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…e001backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.