TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panamaof England, Panama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Panama79c114,015$89,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,324.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed England22c75,948$16,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,746.5826320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Panama80c25,272$20,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,054.4774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England12c16,917$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.891,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed England24c16,641$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,070.084,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England25c6,537$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.012,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panama74c5,810$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.5774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England25c5,690$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.222,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Panama74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked England24c4,306$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.792,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Panama76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.379839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bef…5a8cbacked England25c3,189$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.281833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked England26c3,077$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed England7c3,012$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.014,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed England24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9938526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked England19c3,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9222643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed England21c2,871$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.9711443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed England24c2,730$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1839039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Panama75c2,708$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.0851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked England25c2,627$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.0758642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Panama75c2,490$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked England18c2,178$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.2110911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed England26c2,100$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54618626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked England25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5c…49acbacked England22c1,818$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked England28c1,791$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Panama77c1,706$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.710550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Panama75c1,315$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.022,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England25c1,230$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.42,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked England18c1,200$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe075…a98cbacked England26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005341.5%22 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Panama75c1,111$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.759770.1%68 W · 29 L+12.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked England26c1,023$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.917544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Panama76c1,000$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1470750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked England7c733$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.922,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked England24c719.83$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7643139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed England28c714.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked England24c665.58$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.882,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7630…cfb0backed England17c651.49$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.753420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c73…1795backed Panama76c565.71$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.772161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692d…42b1backed England28c525$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472313%3 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-65%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed England26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed England26c499.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Panama80c482.5$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.522355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked England21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed England26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked England26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed England26c338$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8810133.7%34 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked England16c315.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4812847.7%61 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed England23c309$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1643230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Panama80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6087237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf45…c794backed Panama73c299.97$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9912846.1%59 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed England26c280.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738731%27 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Panama79c279$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6788852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Panama74c273.84$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.611,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdc…efadbacked England19c268.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9808…3cccbacked Panama75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677372.6%53 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Panama79c261.32$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.372,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Panama77c241.37$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.071,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed England25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Panama74c239.97$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.531,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked England13c230$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.96555.4%36 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Panama76c224.34$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.921,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Panama80c217.91$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.181,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Panama75c217.74$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4642853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked England27c214.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.992,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed England25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012033.3%40 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked England25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed England26c199.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5214235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e52…ec62backed Panama77c195.53$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.974047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed England26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015846.2%73 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed England26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked England25c184$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…2f4dbacked England26c173.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked England6c167.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed England26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed England27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.527939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed England24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.517248.3%83 W · 89 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Panama75c139.03$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.523,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked England22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011625.9%30 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45a…02e5backed Panama74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1411149.5%55 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb77…9b07backed England26c135.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.134332.6%14 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked England27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed England27c115.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed England15c111$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7646243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Panama79c105.88$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9563255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked England27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2727242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed England26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610136.6%37 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked England26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620544.9%92 W · 113 L+14.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked England26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2618426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a74…9a36backed England21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed England17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.824136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Panama73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked England18c98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9311230.4%34 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed England26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed Panama76c92.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1111460.5%69 W · 45 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed England27c89.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.277042.9%30 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ee…4e60backed England26c88.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.927330.1%22 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e5e…179dbacked England25c86.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.657341.1%30 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked England27c86.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2511626.7%31 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.