UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2119657b9b09d3f265241ef585d936f4f9090c3739abe9d91a3b8a64ff86f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luis Felipe Diasof Luis Felipe Dias, Yi Sak Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yi Sak Lee | 36c | 34,999$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.8 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 30,001$19,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800.36 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yi Sak Lee | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Yi Sak Lee | 36c | 7,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 5,142$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 5,118$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.32 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Yi Sak Lee | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Luis Felipe Dias | 63c | 4,814$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.02 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yi Sak Lee | 36c | 3,200$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Luis Felipe Dias | 63c | 2,933$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.93 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 61c | 2,517$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 2,405$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Luis Felipe Dias | 61c | 2,175$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.13 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Luis Felipe Dias | 62c | 2,140$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed Yi Sak Lee | 36c | 2,089$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 2,022$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.86 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Yi Sak Lee | 39c | 1,895$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.87 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yi Sak Lee | 39c | 1,799$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.61 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Yi Sak Lee | 36c | 1,654$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.28 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Yi Sak Lee | 38c | 1,588$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yi Sak Lee | 39c | 1,538$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.97 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yi Sak Lee | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yi Sak Lee | 39c | 1,496$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.43 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 1,442$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.66 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Luis Felipe Dias | 63c | 1,383$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.42 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 1,189$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.06 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Yi Sak Lee | 35c | 1,179$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.76 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Luis Felipe Dias | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Luis Felipe Dias | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Luis Felipe Dias | 60c | 999.97$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yi Sak Lee | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed Yi Sak Lee | 4c | 772.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 61c | 772$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 744.39$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.98 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Luis Felipe Dias | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yi Sak Lee | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yi Sak Lee | 38c | 597.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Yi Sak Lee | 16c | 587.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yi Sak Lee | 3c | 532.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…6ff9backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Luis Felipe Dias | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Yi Sak Lee | 37c | 497.54$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.09 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Yi Sak Lee | 36c | 419.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 407.73$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yi Sak Lee | 11c | 368.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 352.7$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yi Sak Lee | 10c | 318.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yi Sak Lee | 39c | 313.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 304.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 302.03$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 283.21$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Luis Felipe Dias | 71c | 279.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yi Sak Lee | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Yi Sak Lee | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yi Sak Lee | 38c | 266.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…2b42backed Yi Sak Lee | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yi Sak Lee | 37c | 258.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yi Sak Lee | 18c | 247$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 242.66$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 234.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 233$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 232.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 231.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 228.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Yi Sak Lee | 37c | 220$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 214.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yi Sak Lee | 38c | 208.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yi Sak Lee | 10c | 202.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yi Sak Lee | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Yi Sak Lee | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Yi Sak Lee | 37c | 189.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked Yi Sak Lee | 39c | 186.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Yi Sak Lee | 33c | 175.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…fbddbacked Yi Sak Lee | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yi Sak Lee | 39c | 172.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…a55ebacked Yi Sak Lee | 37c | 165$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Luis Felipe Dias | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Luis Felipe Dias | 67c | 158.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 155.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…724ebacked Yi Sak Lee | 50c | 148$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yi Sak Lee | 37c | 146.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Yi Sak Lee | 39c | 145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 141.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…cce5backed Luis Felipe Dias | 65c | 138.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719a…7b25backed Luis Felipe Dias | 79c | 133.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…9c8dbacked Yi Sak Lee | 40c | 133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Yi Sak Lee | 37c | 132.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…6ab2backed Luis Felipe Dias | 62c | 130.28$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 128.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yi Sak Lee | 38c | 128.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 78c | 126.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Luis Felipe Dias | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…c228backed Yi Sak Lee | 40c | 116.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.