TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$569,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$578,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes46c435,000$199,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235,748.282070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No54c110,930$59,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,902.324845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f0e…2ee5backed No54c97,725$52,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,772.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No55c44,599$24,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,307.462441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No54c37,574$20,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,289.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c15,949$7,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,845.468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No55c15,140$8,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,254.6899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No55c14,541$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0002040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No54c12,500$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7508845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c11,170$6,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,085.561,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No54c10,900$5,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,886825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c10,145$5,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,570.6570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No48c9,390$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,488.5598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c8,595$4,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,716.0272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No26c8,206$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.621,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No55c8,000$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,379.974656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c7,852$3,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,544.283,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No11c6,403$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.33837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes73c6,152$4,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.247074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No55c5,751$3,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,155.548946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No27c5,470$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.5313952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No57c5,300$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0211540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes43c5,048$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.9971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No55c4,545$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.7513347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No54c4,165$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.9912951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No28c4,094$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.6353040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No53c4,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.973234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c3,890$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.7997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c2,467$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.2653046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No53c2,100$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.098032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No52c1,614$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.781,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes74c1,512$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.0835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes67c1,468$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.549050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No27c1,424$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.569726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c1,191$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.191,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes66c1,149$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.666939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No45c1,078$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.8511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No16c999.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.513228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c972$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No55c967$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.853540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No11c820.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3187154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c806.58$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes67c803.33$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.371526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes35c765.81$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.421861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96bd…ff97backed Yes67c699.99$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+77.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes40c627.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.094850%24 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed No55c600$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3291315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32436247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No55c587.32$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.782050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No9c573.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4522841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Yes49c550.59$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+204.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No55c550$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.510628.3%30 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Yes47c531.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+165.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Yes48c520.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+115%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes48c517.96$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.426346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No54c511.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0427047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Yes48c507.88$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No56c500.65$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes70c489.33$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8231446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes78c476$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.721020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.533528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes47c399.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes60c391.47$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1216437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked No77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002065%13 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed No5c381$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…edf8backed No55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Yes46c357.45$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1252…42c4backed No23c347.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9dc…8624backed No25c320$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No36c304.74$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.444531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Yes46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No65c294$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.081,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Yes45c284$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes57c255.06$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.991827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No11c246.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.092810.7%3 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-73.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes25c245.55$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.168344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes30c230.57$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.84566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ad2…9401backed Yes70c225$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52065%13 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick74cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No55c224.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.744158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No55c224.02$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.87757.1%44 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No29c220.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.129540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3d…1bfabacked No55c214.04$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1defbacked Yes46c209.63$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No34c207.29$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5312058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No49c206.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.034254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No57c204.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501580%12 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+87.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No49c198.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.261266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes36c195.55$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6912667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes56c189.67$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0120252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No14c188.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.064231%13 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No54c185.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.