TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes29c17,446$4,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,977.6735550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes33c14,136$4,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,669.7253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c8,744$6,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.2870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c7,274$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.311,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c6,975$5,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.7572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes27c5,359$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.9533346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes32c3,300$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0561540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c2,765$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.0297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No72c2,662$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.859268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes28c2,406$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.2332848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes20c1,904$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.8298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No76c1,522$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.073240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df9…0965backed No75c1,100$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes22c903$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8452639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes43c882.38$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.6535247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No73c751.45$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.36346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No70c735.54$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.535743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes27c715.19$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6248.3%2 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-7.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes25c712$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5692346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No46c687.59$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c675$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c675$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c674.26$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes29c619$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.519726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed No72c578.05$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.89911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.42per pick53cpaid-84.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No46c545.94$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.6213228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No71c532.91$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No49c501.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.369437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Yes54c499.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.39977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes28c454.93$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.11,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Yes55c450.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes9c413.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afc…ded7backed Yes24c392.79$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c346.83$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.880358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No69c320.27$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.281,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No69c312.56$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.894959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No70c308$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.41,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes42c306.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.920252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae4…011ebacked Yes32c301.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes38c284.32$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0580249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No74c270$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.29742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No74c256$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5627047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes19c254.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.434531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes12c254.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0368150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8026450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes11c225$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.759747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No72c221$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.917031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.778344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dcc…cf04backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No69c189.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6112951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No69c188.41$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.414942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No68c179.06$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4625652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes48c170.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.074566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No75c153.12$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.282653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No68c147$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.044528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Yes24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5911144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes51c140$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.813464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes20c136.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.911454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No74c135.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1317858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No70c134.65$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.889345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c124.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8773438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes47c120$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.620660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Yes52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.47038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No47c119.95$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No47c112.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.936636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No71c111.11$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.222673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yes31c107.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.235437%20 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes32c106.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.928129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes29c103$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1216437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked No75c101.35$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.342254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1927344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes53c95.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.744231%13 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes58c94.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.555234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes46c92.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8644350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No72c86.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.917263.9%46 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No72c85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5613259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7434…80fbbacked Yes25c80.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes29c74.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No68c73.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No46c69.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed No72c62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2910753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.514549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.614349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No74c58.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.032483.3%20 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes30c56.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.516159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes51c47.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4419960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed No61c45.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.682846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed No69c43.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.612979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Yes57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.