Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c729774eb1f6e48df976aa7a0853042fcea940672e23c2252f6135cbfd8fe97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $950,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $959,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $950,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 57c | 570,000$324,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245,270.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 43c | 238,805$102,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,686.26 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 54c | 158,073$85,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,637.21 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 44c | 97,221$42,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,739.7 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 43c | 47,899$20,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,596.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 46,339$21,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,035.04 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 45c | 22,500$10,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,115 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed No | 43c | 22,222$9,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,555.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 49c | 21,449$10,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,939.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 35c | 20,530$7,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,286.62 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 44c | 18,182$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 16,932$7,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,634.12 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 16,727$7,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,771.82 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 43c | 16,379$7,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,045.38 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 14,880$6,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.98 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…fe05backed No | 44c | 13,725$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 13,694$6,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,243.04 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 47c | 13,479$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,335.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed No | 43c | 13,000$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 44c | 12,084$5,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,328.51 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 44c | 11,930$5,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,272.04 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 8,415$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.86 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 43c | 7,600$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 44c | 5,681$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.64 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.97 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 4,760$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.68 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 4,363$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.55 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 3,964$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.78 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 3,206$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.44 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 47c | 3,078$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.2 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 2,761$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.75 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 52c | 2,519$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…8a83backed No | 46c | 2,446$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 43c | 2,318$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.08 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 2,150$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.52 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 44c | 1,989$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.6 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 46c | 1,953$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.93 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 15c | 1,878$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked No | 44c | 1,830$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 46c | 1,792$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.32 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 50c | 1,710$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.53 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked No | 53c | 1,705$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 1,628$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.57 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 46c | 1,617$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.98 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed No | 47c | 1,305$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 46c | 1,273$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.41 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 45c | 1,229$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.62 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed No | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 21c | 1,194$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.61 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 47c | 1,129$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.09 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 47c | 1,069$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.53 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 1,063$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.81 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 44c | 1,033$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.78 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 4c | 856.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 45c | 810$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 11c | 809.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…9401backed Yes | 77c | 787$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Yes | 51c | 735.26$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 45c | 652.14$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked No | 46c | 626$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 77c | 615.21$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 609.07$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.03 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 14c | 599.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 46c | 579.08$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.48 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 506.46$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.78 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Yes | 57c | 500$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 45c | 467.97$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 45c | 464.44$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 45c | 448.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 45c | 434.06$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.73 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed No | 29c | 410$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…5f92backed No | 45c | 409.23$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed No | 44c | 406.05$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…42c4backed No | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 45c | 394.53$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.01 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…a06abacked No | 45c | 369.96$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…8624backed No | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 61c | 344.2$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Yes | 57c | 316$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 303.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 48c | 301$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.93 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 46c | 295.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 55c | 274.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 45c | 269.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.