South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa8f9bc1273f19642b1b07e0915320f6cb1a1dd1d24ba36732b1cad6d5bf50c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed No | 0c | 12,492$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 5,322$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.85 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 4,086$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.71 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 61c | 2,732$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.61 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,686$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.07 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 2,458$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.23 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 2,400$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed No | 14c | 2,068$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.33 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 2,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 1,692$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.36 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed No | 15c | 1,250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 1,179$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 67c | 1,032$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.88 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 864.35$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.68 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 863.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 39c | 850$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.5 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 739.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.96 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 64c | 600.03$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.47 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 11c | 521.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 90 | 32.2%29 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584a…8b8abacked No | 21c | 436.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 29c | 345$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Yes | 31c | 320.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 314.16$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 71c | 269.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.69 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 37c | 236.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 27c | 232.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 79c | 214$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 5c | 205$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 68c | 198.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 194.05$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 27c | 191.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 182$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…c6c7backed Yes | 28c | 161$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 30c | 158.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 14c | 135.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 58c | 123.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 28c | 122.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 29c | 122.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 31c | 111$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Yes | 31c | 105$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 95.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 49c | 78.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 74c | 67.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 27c | 62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…29e4backed Yes | 78c | 50.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 48.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 31c | 47.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 33c | 45.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 72c | 42.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Yes | 40c | 37.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 71c | 36.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 59c | 34.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 40c | 31.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 72c | 19.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…96f1backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-25?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.