MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d711e0f90cf78a167a2f4c811a13c766e29f61ac957f6c7a6e7ee2a48dd0dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 87,603$35,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,561.61 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 66,847$40,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,155.36 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 33,281$15,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,826.24 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 24,888$14,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,320.87 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 17,068$10,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,110.66 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 16,736$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,986.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 11,285$5,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.69 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 11,077$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048.16 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6308…5d18backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 10,541$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 8,194$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,916.56 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 7,926$5,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.65 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 7,387$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 6,580$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.04 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 6,248$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.03 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 5,976$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.08 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 5,902$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.71 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 5,304$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.22 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 5,291$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.67 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 4,620$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 3,132$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 2,920$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 2,832$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 2,713$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.23 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 2,619$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.16 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,585$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.34 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 2,549$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.29 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 2,541$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.26 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 2,533$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers | 4c | 2,356$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 2,355$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.17 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…3704backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,154$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,048$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.98 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.98 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 1,983$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.91 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,945$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.18 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,941$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,786$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.18 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…a351backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 1,409$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,296$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,261$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.7 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 1,261$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.76 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,254$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x181f…6800backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,220$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 1,209$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texas Rangers | 6c | 1,183$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 1,167$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,128$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.75 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,090$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.1 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 1,047$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.77 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,046$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.8 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,026$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.34 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 980.97$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.58 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…3170backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 932.3$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 902$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.22 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Texas Rangers | 34c | 848.12$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.36 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 799.95$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.97 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 764.33$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 758.19$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.44 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 741.8$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.44 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 741.75$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 673.45$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.8 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 641.81$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.09 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 602.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 587.91$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.63 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 555.76$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.82 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 514.37$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.05 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 512.82$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 481.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.84 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 479$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.61 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 471.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…7816backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 467.22$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.66 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 455.47$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27e…1732backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 447.36$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 445$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.05 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 400.53$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.93 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 395.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.15 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 387.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 366.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 366.32$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.79 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 350.93$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 343.77$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 336.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 330.43$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 316.47$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 313$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 312.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 299.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 299.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.53 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.