Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af72da90da39328f3bbaf13394709f174c5af23ae232905f84f007a14ed9ee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,175$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,020$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Yes | 74c | 591.08$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 569.12$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 55c | 457.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.76 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 77c | 416.75$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 45c | 347.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 26c | 271.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 74c | 209$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 56c | 207.04$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed Yes | 52c | 153.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 56c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed No | 73c | 116$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 69c | 91.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…6589backed Yes | 63c | 89.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 25c | 71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Yes | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…cca8backed Yes | 80c | 55.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked No | 75c | 39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 55c | 37.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 53c | 31.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 43c | 29.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…34a8backed Yes | 68c | 26.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…e4e3backed Yes | 78c | 20.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…5928backed Yes | 76c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…7377backed Yes | 76c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.