TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,751,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,751,534 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 686 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes74c141,648$104,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,819.4813748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes80c110,814$88,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,289.582,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf195…8057backed No26c110,532$28,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,793.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No28c90,364$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,363.711445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No26c80,445$20,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,529.233050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes74c70,000$51,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,799.943557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes77c51,899$39,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,961.855646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No26c51,188$13,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,922.212847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No18c45,872$8,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,683.969141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes73c43,001$31,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,393.32,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No26c40,500$10,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,9707542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes74c39,346$29,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,232.0114450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes77c35,049$26,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,983.216,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No24c33,534$8,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,484.2910335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No24c26,977$6,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,431.3524146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed Yes76c26,316$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000.15966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No26c24,792$6,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,346.4116651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No26c24,205$6,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,911.985939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No24c23,240$5,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,617.444748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes73c23,000$16,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,87035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No15c21,240$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,0541553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes0c20,059$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No25c19,200$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4003256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes74c19,000$14,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0605345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No24c18,539$4,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,089.921464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes74c18,395$13,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,66521253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed No26c18,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,320475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+114.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes73c18,000$13,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,184.995442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed No25c17,500$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,1253148.4%15 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No26c16,639$4,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,312.977653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes47c15,748$7,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,323.164,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No24c13,000$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,829.924252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes75c11,808$8,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,817.731,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes76c11,159$8,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,480.8415534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes74c10,939$8,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,145.321,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes74c10,811$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0009350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes76c10,311$7,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,836.278259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.810236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed No27c9,439$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,890.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No26c9,110$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,741.44052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No24c9,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8704944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No23c8,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1602832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes75c8,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No24c7,940$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,034.246043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No25c7,195$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.22850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No24c6,790$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,160.31643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No26c6,295$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,658.33060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No24c6,175$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,683.531,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No25c6,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9315748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No25c5,990$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,462.4415944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No26c5,400$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9962147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No26c5,400$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,995.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+71.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes72c4,979$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.3923350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked No27c4,357$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.32887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+115.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed No24c4,210$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.586023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Yes74c4,114$3,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes74c4,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No16c3,500$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.991450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+124.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes74c3,333$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.4218259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes74c3,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No26c2,970$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.79875%6 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+99.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes72c2,904$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.0251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes74c2,775$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.525648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe784…a80dbacked Yes76c2,700$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0521735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes75c2,671$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.2810144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No32c2,544$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.754052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No26c2,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8506744.8%30 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No26c2,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No26c2,441$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.347544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Yes74c2,360$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.561435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No24c2,300$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74716050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No26c2,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.873842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f2…65d8backed No26c2,247$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No26c2,214$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes74c2,213$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.58764.4%56 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes74c2,019$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.5312949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4805949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No24c2,000$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No26c1,994$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.565337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No26c1,966$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.844052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No25c1,904$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.131,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes59c1,811$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.8842043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed No26c1,805$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes74c1,764$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.2213834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes75c1,682$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.3523556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No19c1,654$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.961,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No24c1,600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21610951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes76c1,586$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8954…b41ebacked Yes76c1,565$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No27c1,551$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.129246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No13c1,533$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.7810827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes74c1,500$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1106953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No24c1,500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes75c1,500$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes75c1,483$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.247557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes74c1,463$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.261338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed No26c1,430$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.432556%14 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+57.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed No26c1,400$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.