TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$680,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,072 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes8c39,802$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.972,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes0c19,404$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes3c19,364$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.326,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes11c19,091$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes10c16,968$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.615534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes2c16,711$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.981,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes12c14,471$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.041,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes10c12,873$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3161827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59d…1288backed Yes0c10,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes3c9,644$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.374,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed Yes9c7,303$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.34748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes11c7,127$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.31315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes10c6,666$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2724146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes11c4,300$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes11c3,636$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes10c3,500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3554822.9%11 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c3,354$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.711,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f82cbacked Yes10c3,333$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.360%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa43a…aa76backed Yes11c3,309$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes10c3,243$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.35442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes10c3,144$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2715748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes10c3,050$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes10c2,800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41dd…e3abbacked Yes3c2,559$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes3c2,300$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.12623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes10c2,001$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0822534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes3c1,984$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Yes3c1,852$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.042119%4 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Yes11c1,805$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.531942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x991d…e467backed Yes3c1,771$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16523325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes4c1,469$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes11c1,336$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes3c1,234$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.691,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…e882backed Yes10c1,210$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177a…10d0backed Yes9c1,191$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes10c1,155$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.932,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes2c1,145$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.92,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes10c1,100$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+98.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes7c1,070$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746225.8%16 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes10c1,025$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8412741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x676a…a7c7backed Yes10c1,001$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.14742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes11c901.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1922746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8479…1410backed Yes12c840.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Yes10c828.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80219.5%2 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-81.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes2c807.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes3c784.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.521030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…9fc9backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes11c757.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.36720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes11c750$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes10c733$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.330143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes3c714.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes4c641.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae9e…41f2backed Yes9c615.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-74.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa370…06fbbacked Yes13c615.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes11c611$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed Yes11c609.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes13c603.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.481030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes8c600.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.492321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes3c580.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Yes9c535$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes10c533.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3427948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…65d8backed Yes11c529.73$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes11c509.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes12c501.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1912139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8710924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes11c499.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9528824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a3…ffb4backed Yes5c479.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.153828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa4…7e7ebacked Yes11c478.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes2c458.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119137.4%34 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56aa…c754backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b64…2e63backed Yes11c450$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes10c444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.41513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x693e…0a97backed Yes4c417.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c6…a0f2backed Yes11c410$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes13c400$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes4c393.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7324340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe105…1b21backed Yes11c390.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Yes10c381.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes14c360.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aab…2b62backed Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb97…40dbbacked Yes11c314.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.612450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Yes11c309.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf760…d9afbacked Yes11c308.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes6c307.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189625%24 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.