TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe667…898fbacked Yes0c29,958$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2470%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes68c7,032$4,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,780.8421548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed No31c6,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.951861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c5,512$4,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.0496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1006442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No56c4,545$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.994463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No67c4,296$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.5911153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes38c2,803$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.0449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8840…0372backed Yes39c2,654$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes33c1,921$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.79911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c1,722$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.41,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c1,720$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.2898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes30c1,663$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.341618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes69c1,569$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.7834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes33c1,514$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.646431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes14c1,340$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19011619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No70c1,303$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.9820431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa354…ae31backed Yes80c1,301$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes33c1,206$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.943622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No20c1,176$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.832560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes33c1,115$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3684030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c1,108$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes33c1,030$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32010038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked No16c939.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+526.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ef…da18backed No68c883$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c865.48$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Yes33c840.01$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.21414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-77.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c811.23$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes49c743.13$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.483661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x937f…b74bbacked No68c736$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.521540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd9…77f6backed Yes3c682$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes37c595.27$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.742123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No51c512.89$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8131738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes9c491.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5111529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No67c478$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes77c460.19$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.361650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes21c450$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes21c444$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.242835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes12c423.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507150.7%36 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12431441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No68c371.08$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9417529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No67c345$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8524953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed Yes35c309.66$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes49c306.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No72c302.45$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4228445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe79a…d65cbacked Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No29c299.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9911837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66d0…8195backed Yes70c290.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed No69c288.41$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No68c272.06$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.062133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No65c261$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.942630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No67c238.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes33c236$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.884953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No22c217.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.128737.9%33 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8876…01fbbacked Yes41c190$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes33c187.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No69c180.54$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No65c178.58$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3543…bc1dbacked No68c161.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eac…525ebacked Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes21c147.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c141.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.642,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec2…00f6backed Yes33c137.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Yes63c126.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked No69c120.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked No20c116.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.052330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf03d…21fbbacked No22c114.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.89450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+224.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No55c109.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.184953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No69c108$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.482236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.515141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes12c90$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf779…13d9backed Yes41c87.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes20c73.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.753748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes72c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.915259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7126…ccdbbacked No57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.59240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked No40c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No53c47.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.368748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes34c47.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6b…8abebacked No69c43.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No69c42.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.236744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked No68c42.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.635030%15 W · 35 L-10.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x450a…a7debacked Yes45c40.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.241258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No55c37.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8736852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.