Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221a51b5dbcf486ba40c566facadaaa399ea01be29b96824dfc0697d95b6655b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $677,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $726,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 12c | 111,440$13,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,589.76 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 52c | 71,184$36,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,950.33 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 49c | 66,194$32,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,843.58 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 65c | 35,624$23,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,522.66 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 43c | 23,372$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,321.87 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked No | 0c | 20,192$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 51c | 16,738$8,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,283.98 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 57c | 14,049$8,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,007.81 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 56c | 13,136$7,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,356.29 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 14c | 13,019$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.56 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 42c | 12,754$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,430.23 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 56c | 11,625$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552.65 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.98 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 9,824$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,951.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 46c | 8,799$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,751.71 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 7,619$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.82 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 42c | 7,030$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,077.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 55c | 6,025$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 5,972$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.9 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 23c | 5,811$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.06 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 37c | 5,406$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.54 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 5,204$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.2 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.83 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 42c | 4,844$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 56c | 4,543$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.08 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 58c | 4,344$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 4,158$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.13 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed No | 52c | 3,655$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 43c | 3,235$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.02 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 55c | 3,152$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.34 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 6c | 3,059$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 61c | 3,016$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…0372backed Yes | 42c | 2,958$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 2,883$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.45 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 29c | 2,870$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 35c | 2,702$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.82 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 2,681$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.57 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 43c | 2,678$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.59 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb34…c6a4backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 21c | 2,220$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.83 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 72c | 2,109$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.17 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked No | 4c | 1,948$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Yes | 47c | 1,855$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 69c | 1,705$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 1,608$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.54 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 52c | 1,600$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.68 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 22c | 1,487$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ae07backed Yes | 43c | 1,433$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 18c | 1,388$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 54c | 1,352$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 44c | 1,306$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.94 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 57c | 1,272$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 1,270$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.38 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed No | 24c | 1,253$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 26c | 1,164$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.9 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 3c | 1,096$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 53c | 1,091$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.41 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc46c…7ffcbacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…79eebacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…9ef0backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 57c | 949$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.93 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 49c | 841.24$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.52 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 44c | 840.5$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.65 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 76c | 804.37$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 43c | 802.33$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 66c | 756.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 40c | 748.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 733.57$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.85 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 53c | 698.59$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.25 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 36c | 639.59$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 37c | 621.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.49 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 44c | 567$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.52 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 43c | 549.83$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.01 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 55c | 525.91$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 45c | 517.44$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 515.68$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.11 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 57c | 511.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-30?No won
- Will SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.