TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4722…36bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$27.54
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$158.19
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.09
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$65.78
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$156.6
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$34.68
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$27.8
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$123.08
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$151.47
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$114.47
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5152.9%27 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$81.11
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.91
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$73.64
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.95
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.19
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$179.58
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$52.68
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$85.35
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.15
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.34
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$29.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.