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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,618 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION35c35,904$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed PARIVISION38c25,493$9,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,725.7314840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid59c17,450$10,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,077.2636141.3%149 W · 212 L-22.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked PARIVISION43c17,039$7,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,268.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid60c12,222$7,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.832854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid68c10,497$7,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.3522954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION38c10,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked PARIVISION22c9,184$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.889145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid61c8,181$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.4120159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb43…844bbacked Team Liquid62c7,898$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Liquid61c7,800$4,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,041.997357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION39c7,440$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.627645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid60c5,939$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.2318452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Liquid75c4,710$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.511647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Team Liquid60c4,420$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7684358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Team Liquid60c4,200$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68013441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed PARIVISION40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.064245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION24c3,868$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.71,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked PARIVISION29c3,764$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.5514515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad12…5cf6backed Team Liquid70c3,378$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.42580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked PARIVISION37c3,290$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.243336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION33c3,170$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.292,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Team Liquid57c2,758$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.456145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed PARIVISION38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.994932.7%16 W · 33 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9834544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION42c2,384$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid61c2,320$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.4556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed PARIVISION41c2,152$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.299555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d33…7287backed Team Liquid73c2,111$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.284746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Team Liquid63c2,052$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.567941.8%33 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44085851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed Team Liquid60c2,000$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8109253.3%49 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION40c2,000$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.6519742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed PARIVISION37c2,000$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.9181029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION39c1,837$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.760542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fb…19c0backed PARIVISION21c1,738$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.86735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid61c1,724$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.3671342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Team Liquid79c1,710$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.18844.3%39 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.955964.4%38 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Liquid79c1,658$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.288458.3%49 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid60c1,648$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.219147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Liquid59c1,645$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.8417740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Liquid62c1,622$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.3520350.7%103 W · 100 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid61c1,585$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.0522643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked PARIVISION38c1,581$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.224443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid63c1,577$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.559959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Team Liquid59c1,538$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.626235.5%22 W · 40 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Team Liquid59c1,371$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.773351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid61c1,350$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.0323050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION38c1,311$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1339936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Liquid74c1,289$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.359257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Team Liquid69c1,156$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.875158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed PARIVISION40c1,131$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.483740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed PARIVISION38c1,042$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.679837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed PARIVISION38c1,005$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.33050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION23c1,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1342145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed PARIVISION39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903225%8 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid52c953$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.448957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid69c943.98$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.982,83443.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L-39.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03df…1299backed PARIVISION24c899.99$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.994628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Team Liquid79c859.29$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.455259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid62c840.46$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.4626453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b3…507fbacked PARIVISION38c820$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.63053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Team Liquid63c808.83$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.6711947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked Team Liquid60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x971f…160abacked Team Liquid60c795.87$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Team Liquid62c777.3$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.35642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed PARIVISION39c770.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION39c749.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.522727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff2…c7c9backed Team Liquid61c724.13$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.413070%21 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid58c720$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.69430.9%29 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION38c715$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.071,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed PARIVISION16c688.08$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0916821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Liquid68c655.36$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7546649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Liquid60c651.33$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5314849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked PARIVISION40c517.73$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.09850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed PARIVISION38c510.83$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2113731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ebb…00febacked Team Liquid60c500.19$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.382572%18 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Liquid61c500$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1413657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Team Liquid61c497.73$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.115244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed PARIVISION2c497.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid+12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Liquid61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.816641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8979…9428backed Team Liquid61c489.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.28661.6%53 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Team Liquid62c482$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.229156%51 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid63c479.08$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6624052.1%125 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…98f9backed Team Liquid69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.786066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03e…da65backed Team Liquid60c399.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.746650%33 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed PARIVISION40c399$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.247665.8%50 W · 26 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked PARIVISION29c397.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11516440.2%66 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb469…b49cbacked PARIVISION40c382.5$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Liquid62c376.87$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2111753%62 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid78c374.93$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2380942.6%345 W · 464 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION38c350.32$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1263032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Team Liquid62c338.71$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.717261.1%44 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…a3abbacked Team Liquid62c332.55$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.375756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1acd…0b90backed Team Liquid61c328.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Team Liquid61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.873964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Liquid62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5819162.8%120 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed PARIVISION38c321.39$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.134141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.