Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x514c9124b41127854415f955c85b87af470203578e452f0a6ab83bb33f240cce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,618 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 35c | 35,904$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed PARIVISION | 38c | 25,493$9,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,725.73 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 17,450$10,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,077.26 | 361 | 41.3%149 W · 212 L | -22.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 17,039$7,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,268.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 60c | 12,222$7,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.8 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 10,497$7,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.35 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 38c | 10,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 9,184$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.88 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 8,181$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.41 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…844bbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 7,898$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 7,800$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.99 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION | 39c | 7,440$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.6 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 60c | 5,939$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.23 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Liquid | 75c | 4,710$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.5 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 4,420$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Liquid | 60c | 4,200$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed PARIVISION | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.06 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 24c | 3,868$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.7 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked PARIVISION | 29c | 3,764$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.55 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5cf6backed Team Liquid | 70c | 3,378$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 3,290$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 33c | 3,170$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.29 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Liquid | 57c | 2,758$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.45 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed PARIVISION | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.98 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 2,384$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 61c | 2,320$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.45 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed PARIVISION | 41c | 2,152$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.29 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Team Liquid | 73c | 2,111$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.28 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Team Liquid | 63c | 2,052$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.56 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Liquid | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION | 40c | 2,000$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.65 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PARIVISION | 37c | 2,000$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.91 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 1,837$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.7 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed PARIVISION | 21c | 1,738$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,724$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.36 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Team Liquid | 79c | 1,710$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.95 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 1,658$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.28 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,648$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.2 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,645$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.84 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,622$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.35 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,585$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.05 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 1,581$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,577$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.55 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,538$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.62 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,371$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,350$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.03 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 1,311$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.13 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 1,289$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.35 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,156$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.87 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed PARIVISION | 40c | 1,131$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,042$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.67 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,005$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 23c | 1,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.13 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed PARIVISION | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid | 52c | 953$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.44 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 69c | 943.98$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.98 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed PARIVISION | 24c | 899.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Team Liquid | 79c | 859.29$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid | 62c | 840.46$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.46 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 820$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Liquid | 63c | 808.83$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.67 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…160abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 795.87$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Team Liquid | 62c | 777.3$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.3 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed PARIVISION | 39c | 770.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION | 39c | 749.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…c7c9backed Team Liquid | 61c | 724.13$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.41 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 720$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION | 38c | 715$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.07 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed PARIVISION | 16c | 688.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Liquid | 68c | 655.36$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.75 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Liquid | 60c | 651.33$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.53 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 517.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed PARIVISION | 38c | 510.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…00febacked Team Liquid | 60c | 500.19$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Liquid | 61c | 500$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Team Liquid | 61c | 497.73$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed PARIVISION | 2c | 497.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Liquid | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Team Liquid | 61c | 489.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Liquid | 62c | 482$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.22 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 479.08$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Team Liquid | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Team Liquid | 60c | 399.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed PARIVISION | 40c | 399$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked PARIVISION | 29c | 397.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…b49cbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 382.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Liquid | 62c | 376.87$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.21 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 78c | 374.93$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 809 | 42.6%345 W · 464 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 38c | 350.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Team Liquid | 62c | 338.71$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 332.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…0b90backed Team Liquid | 61c | 328.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Team Liquid | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Liquid | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed PARIVISION | 38c | 321.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.