NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb29090e9272c9ef55d5374f21d05c3cc7eb738496527ef00004308e5fe236407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,219,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,271,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,219,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Suns | 52c | 153,478$80,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,339.11 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Suns | 48c | 125,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Grizzlies | 49c | 112,488$54,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,895.35 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Grizzlies | 48c | 104,108$50,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,908.48 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Suns | 45c | 102,435$46,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,095.53 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Grizzlies | 52c | 98,072$50,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,074.41 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Suns | 46c | 75,000$34,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,249.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Grizzlies | 55c | 66,220$36,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,827.09 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Grizzlies | 55c | 45,225$24,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,251.69 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Grizzlies | 60c | 42,900$25,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,067.96 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Suns | 43c | 31,934$13,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,682.06 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Suns | 56c | 30,955$17,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,286.44 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Suns | 45c | 30,626$13,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,729.6 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Suns | 47c | 26,900$12,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,603.98 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Suns | 57c | 26,586$15,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,101.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Grizzlies | 55c | 26,450$14,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,978.12 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 21,488$11,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,924.27 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Suns | 45c | 17,556$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 55c | 17,200$9,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Suns | 51c | 17,000$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,670 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Grizzlies | 56c | 14,286$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.71 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Suns | 54c | 13,816$7,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,460.46 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 53c | 13,536$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 12,211$6,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,617.06 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Grizzlies | 54c | 11,978$6,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.99 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Grizzlies | 53c | 10,315$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.39 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Grizzlies | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Suns | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies | 55c | 9,188$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.67 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Suns | 60c | 8,372$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.24 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Grizzlies | 49c | 6,964$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.84 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…42f8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 5,980$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Grizzlies | 54c | 5,776$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.18 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 5,446$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.52 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…f99ebacked Suns | 47c | 5,310$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 5,245$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.52 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 44c | 5,100$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 4,337$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.24 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns | 24c | 4,000$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.99 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Grizzlies | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Suns | 46c | 3,919$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.99 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…d549backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,832$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Suns | 32c | 3,813$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Suns | 52c | 3,767$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 55c | 3,709$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.21 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Grizzlies | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 40c | 3,469$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.26 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 3,120$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…3a70backed Suns | 47c | 3,110$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Suns | 46c | 3,108$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.83 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Grizzlies | 50c | 3,085$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.42 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Suns | 28c | 3,062$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.79 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Suns | 45c | 3,015$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.52 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Grizzlies | 46c | 3,014$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.14 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Grizzlies | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Suns | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 60c | 2,828$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.54 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 2,759$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 59c | 2,733$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.35 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 46c | 2,629$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Suns | 36c | 2,611$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.32 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Suns | 45c | 2,415$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.75 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Grizzlies | 75c | 2,240$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.9 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,173$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.73 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,155$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.55 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…f77abacked Suns | 46c | 2,022$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Grizzlies | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 2,000$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.83 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Suns | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…5696backed Suns | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Suns | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Suns | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Suns | 45c | 1,968$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.23 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Suns | 45c | 1,900$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 56c | 1,806$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Grizzlies | 42c | 1,782$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.75 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Suns | 26c | 1,767$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.54 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Suns | 39c | 1,764$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.46 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 35c | 1,745$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,705$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Suns | 66c | 1,506$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.76 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,500$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.96 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Suns | 1c | 1,443$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Suns | 60c | 1,324$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…25f6backed Suns | 48c | 1,309$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Grizzlies | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,250$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.21 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,214$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.9 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,208$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,199$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.41 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9170…718bbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 1,191$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Suns | 17c | 1,170$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Suns | 5c | 1,161$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…1ce7backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,091$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.87 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Sunsthis page
- Grizzlies vs. Suns: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Suns: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Suns: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Suns: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Suns: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Suns: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.