TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PSGof Arsenal, PSG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$374,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed PSG71c77,678$54,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,902.4312536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed PSG74c71,630$53,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,397.33748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…de5fbacked Arsenal23c34,608$7,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,99010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Arsenal24c25,892$6,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2145740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Arsenal23c25,000$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7504746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7411…4d79backed PSG51c20,638$10,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,112.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa988…5fd1backed Arsenal49c20,638$10,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,112.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked PSG71c13,184$9,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,881.8636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Arsenal33c11,191$3,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,656.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Arsenal23c10,672$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4872030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x279a…c95fbacked Arsenal49c10,238$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-64.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked PSG77c8,920$6,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.874459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed PSG79c8,502$6,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.720948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Arsenal22c7,878$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.43542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e21…c431backed Arsenal45c6,659$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Arsenal24c4,634$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.068638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Arsenal1c4,219$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.191338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Arsenal24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Arsenal23c3,819$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.7324742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc12…ce48backed Arsenal23c3,645$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0afe…f6f4backed Arsenal15c3,265$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee45…25a8backed Arsenal23c3,129$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.431729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Arsenal2c3,101$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.459046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Arsenal19c2,705$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.88850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Arsenal23c2,609$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Arsenal46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1504443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…ed4ebacked Arsenal28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Arsenal46c2,417$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed PSG73c2,309$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4438048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf6a…3dacbacked Arsenal35c2,236$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked PSG72c2,200$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.6410137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…f61bbacked Arsenal23c2,178$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d4…8bc0backed Arsenal23c2,128$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Arsenal48c2,089$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3283…1da9backed Arsenal49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed PSG53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9406060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Arsenal22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d85…be2ebacked Arsenal1c1,980$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.421315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick4cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Arsenal22c1,909$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9612359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Arsenal16c1,830$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.210631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed PSG72c1,809$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.582035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Arsenal46c1,807$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.655133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbd…9ec2backed Arsenal21c1,800$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3781136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+410.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Arsenal24c1,778$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.943551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed PSG70c1,740$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.538151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Arsenal1c1,613$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f1…6bdfbacked Arsenal16c1,603$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf18…aba4backed PSG78c1,595$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe187…5de5backed Arsenal24c1,541$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764d…e977backed PSG77c1,450$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb095…9a2abacked PSG55c1,398$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.32366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed PSG78c1,395$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.361070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Arsenal24c1,387$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.8813139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b3a…783ebacked PSG79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…5109backed PSG77c1,239$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.93450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked PSG76c1,222$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2812147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Arsenal23c1,200$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2769840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed PSG48c1,136$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.381747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+306.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed Arsenal22c1,060$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a71…4dd2backed Arsenal21c1,051$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Arsenal45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45017853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c6…4cc5backed Arsenal23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dc7…d48ebacked Arsenal7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed PSG77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc43b…784dbacked Arsenal52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Arsenal46c949$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.041323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d2…95e0backed PSG71c941.49$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fda…735abacked Arsenal22c922.73$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed PSG54c919.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.655242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a54…ac2ebacked Arsenal23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08f8…c2f4backed Arsenal22c813.64$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Arsenal20c742.17$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-72%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed Arsenal45c742$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6114…fe05backed Arsenal2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b06…0b42backed Arsenal23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ef…8793backed Arsenal22c688.86$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06e…f2f9backed Arsenal23c643.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fc…1f6abacked PSG78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…3a28backed Arsenal24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaf…5648backed Arsenal10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93f…a0eebacked Arsenal12c599.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16de…2ebdbacked PSG78c580.17$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.581573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50bc…63dabacked Arsenal16c559.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…cc80backed Arsenal23c542$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2955…905dbacked Arsenal28c527.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed Arsenal7c522.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.592718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c7…c88fbacked PSG69c515.16$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Arsenal50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick54cpaid-74.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9961…adcbbacked Arsenal10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f42…b88fbacked Arsenal10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb42c…f70dbacked PSG77c491.03$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Arsenal21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbcd…d75bbacked Arsenal23c475.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…10a0backed Arsenal48c474.8$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc35e…cb07backed Arsenal35c469.61$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf634…3c9ebacked Arsenal11c464.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked PSG60c455.36$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.154337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Arsenal23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89a5…cd84backed Arsenal23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e05…01cdbacked Arsenal23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.