NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeacbfe007a8b98edaf88aa9ddb4421bbcf375a653f9f63d7f3d33cf4ab9eb912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Heat, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc673…b731backed Nets | 4c | 15,625$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 73c | 7,502$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490.12 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nets | 34c | 7,352$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.43 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Heat | 73c | 6,176$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 32c | 5,100$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nets | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 62c | 4,652$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.99 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 65c | 4,545$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.79 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 68c | 3,672$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.57 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 30c | 3,412$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 70c | 3,125$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.24 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Heat | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nets | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Nets | 34c | 2,963$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.4 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…b747backed Nets | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…d01fbacked Nets | 30c | 2,776$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets | 33c | 2,759$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.22 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Heat | 25c | 2,047$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 68c | 2,007$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.98 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Heat | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Heat | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…89c7backed Heat | 66c | 1,910$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets | 35c | 1,727$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.8 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 67c | 1,650$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.21 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…da1abacked Heat | 69c | 1,641$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Nets | 33c | 1,561$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.33 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…aeaebacked Heat | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Heat | 72c | 1,445$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Nets | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.58 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nets | 34c | 1,267$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.22 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 44c | 1,245$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.36 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Heat | 67c | 1,221$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed Nets | 34c | 1,220$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Heat | 66c | 1,143$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Nets | 34c | 1,105$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.3 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…c62fbacked Heat | 69c | 1,094$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 3c | 1,031$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Heat | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…68f9backed Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 34c | 999.94$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.96 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…ffdbbacked Heat | 66c | 946.21$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 40c | 927.5$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…7209backed Heat | 67c | 923.31$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 65c | 919.99$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.99 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Nets | 28c | 915.39$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.08 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 64c | 835.76$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.25 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Nets | 25c | 810$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.5 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Nets | 35c | 808.78$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.71 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Heat | 68c | 801.6$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked Nets | 33c | 800$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nets | 28c | 798.25$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.25 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Nets | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…460abacked Heat | 74c | 676.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.1 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Heat | 41c | 666.31$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Nets | 29c | 607.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.71 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 67c | 604.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.55 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nets | 30c | 596$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.2 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…d04bbacked Heat | 68c | 587.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 4c | 580$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Heat | 70c | 566.56$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.59 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 3c | 566$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Heat | 48c | 558.49$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.63 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…fd9fbacked Heat | 31c | 550$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 65c | 547.14$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.64 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Nets | 31c | 524$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.56 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 41c | 523.96$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Heat | 28c | 505.93$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…69dabacked Nets | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Heat | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…805dbacked Heat | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…c2ecbacked Nets | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…ffa6backed Heat | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…c3d8backed Heat | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…1a7cbacked Nets | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Nets | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 66c | 435$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Nets | 32c | 431.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.34 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Heat | 69c | 429.08$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.06 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Heat | 65c | 412.78$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.13 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 67c | 404.97$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.48 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…de7abacked Nets | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…9b41backed Nets | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…55ccbacked Heat | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed Heat | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…1305backed Nets | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…251bbacked Nets | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…e6dfbacked Heat | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Heat | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…611fbacked Nets | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2d54backed Heat | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…f1babacked Heat | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Heat | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…4c4bbacked Heat | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Heat | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…357fbacked Heat | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…c2bbbacked Nets | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…eb45backed Nets | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.