NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Warriors (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d8ecd7d94e4c826b89cfafb85214110eb9b8807095efdeefd5a299876a6dbaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twolvesof Twolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twolves | 63c | 88,222$55,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,240.6 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 34c | 53,701$18,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,142.4 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 15c | 27,227$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.72 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11df…0ad6backed Warriors | 36c | 20,139$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 35c | 19,825$6,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,938.88 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Twolves | 64c | 19,619$12,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,062.84 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Warriors | 35c | 16,986$6,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,014.99 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Warriors | 17c | 15,798$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Twolves | 67c | 13,402$8,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.12 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Warriors | 45c | 12,278$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.54 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Warriors | 44c | 11,103$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.32 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Twolves | 63c | 10,845$6,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.38 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Twolves | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Warriors | 35c | 9,714$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Twolves | 56c | 9,517$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.63 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Twolves | 63c | 9,423$5,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.03 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…0d97backed Warriors | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Warriors | 12c | 8,223$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.81 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 36c | 8,078$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.41 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b1…bcdbbacked Warriors | 23c | 6,543$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 41c | 6,082$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.01 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Twolves | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Warriors | 19c | 5,833$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.6 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Twolves | 61c | 5,561$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.5 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Twolves | 63c | 5,500$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…4e5bbacked Twolves | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Warriors | 13c | 4,799$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.28 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Warriors | 1c | 4,659$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Twolves | 74c | 4,500$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Warriors | 28c | 4,383$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.78 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 36c | 4,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Warriors | 38c | 3,346$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.01 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Twolves | 58c | 2,820$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.78 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Twolves | 78c | 2,620$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Warriors | 20c | 2,566$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Twolves | 65c | 2,327$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.76 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…52d3backed Twolves | 66c | 2,279$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Twolves | 67c | 2,032$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.02 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Warriors | 13c | 1,984$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.46 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Warriors | 39c | 1,978$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.75 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Warriors | 24c | 1,955$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.6 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Warriors | 32c | 1,941$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.72 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Warriors | 37c | 1,700$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.2 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Warriors | 32c | 1,685$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.26 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 43c | 1,575$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.43 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Twolves | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…3895backed Warriors | 40c | 1,518$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Twolves | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Warriors | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Warriors | 22c | 1,360$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Warriors | 36c | 1,344$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.6 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…5e3dbacked Warriors | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…0770backed Warriors | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Warriors | 35c | 1,313$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.14 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Warriors | 28c | 1,305$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c0…ff26backed Warriors | 16c | 1,258$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…fe7cbacked Warriors | 16c | 1,252$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…4b92backed Twolves | 65c | 1,226$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.77 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Twolves | 63c | 1,218$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.77 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Twolves | 64c | 1,187$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.39 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Twolves | 64c | 1,172$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.88 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Twolves | 63c | 1,115$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.31 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Twolves | 64c | 1,111$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed Twolves | 64c | 1,011$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Twolves | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twolves | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…5ef1backed Warriors | 14c | 999.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a7…6123backed Warriors | 19c | 972.86$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Warriors | 36c | 944.07$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.87 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Twolves | 65c | 824.71$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.65 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…3824backed Warriors | 7c | 714.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…0c2cbacked Warriors | 16c | 658.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a50…7f3abacked Warriors | 28c | 656.74$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Warriors | 5c | 599.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Twolves | 68c | 570.27$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5915…536bbacked Warriors | 35c | 562.71$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Warriors | 4c | 510.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Twolves | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 21c | 477$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Twolves | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…ba11backed Warriors | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Warriors | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Twolves | 77c | 414$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Warriors | 36c | 397.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…5823backed Warriors | 36c | 389$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…852dbacked Warriors | 26c | 385.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…f71bbacked Warriors | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…84d7backed Warriors | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…ce53backed Warriors | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Twolves | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…7169backed Warriors | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Twolves | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed Twolves | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Warriors | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Twolves | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…0dd5backed Warriors | 36c | 295.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Twolves | 70c | 284$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…a133backed Warriors | 36c | 282.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.