TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Pacers, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$614,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$669,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 952 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers41c34,323$14,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,051.673,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers61c30,621$18,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,586.241,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers18c26,049$4,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,582.751,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pacers30c25,643$7,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,747.4633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers43c15,938$6,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,809.2147656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Lakers45c13,400$6,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,37022458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers55c11,929$6,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,558.4580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Lakers41c9,767$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,789.3943653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers61c9,535$5,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,851.296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Lakers75c8,257$6,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.667163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Lakers39c8,117$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.919437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers40c8,074$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,855.371,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Lakers43c8,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,579.995628.6%16 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+104.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…b735backed Pacers64c6,262$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Lakers42c5,874$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.139572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Pacers17c5,341$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.8126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Pacers58c5,118$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.5625833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pacers18c5,039$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.0472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Pacers55c5,039$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.513638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pacers0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Lakers38c5,000$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.118016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Lakers42c4,951$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.717546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Lakers38c4,374$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.0316844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers36c3,853$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.235,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers15c3,790$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.971,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Lakers41c3,654$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.019849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Lakers37c3,445$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.642653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers60c3,288$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.4461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f6…7f1fbacked Pacers64c3,248$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0794165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc875…a7b7backed Pacers14c3,172$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Pacers13c3,080$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4220238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Lakers77c2,785$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.2522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Lakers48c2,686$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Lakers41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47530826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Pacers20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers1c2,250$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.554573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Lakers38c2,125$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.863455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Pacers1c2,108$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0614040%56 W · 84 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers60c2,096$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.3233752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6c…42b2backed Lakers79c2,081$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.049154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a4…83cebacked Lakers52c2,063$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.522937.9%11 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lakers53c2,025$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8866…dd1ebacked Lakers79c2,000$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Lakers38c1,974$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.8730440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x000f…fa77backed Lakers50c1,941$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.822669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Pacers33c1,905$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.3930061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Pacers21c1,823$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6816919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Lakers40c1,819$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.3750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Pacers62c1,710$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.545358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Pacers25c1,641$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.6615341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers61c1,604$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.711,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…6bd1backed Lakers61c1,576$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.573568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Pacers19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28522039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Pacers26c1,413$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.3728651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Lakers39c1,383$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.4530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Lakers38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7945135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Lakers38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.798343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Lakers38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7636247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Pacers7c1,288$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5413140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Lakers40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25c4…bbcdbacked Lakers75c1,249$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.19875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pacers30c1,234$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.4447229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers2c1,198$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.831,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2209…823ebacked Pacers63c1,071$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6751369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Lakers38c1,070$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.471540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1af…d23bbacked Lakers78c1,035$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6110158.4%59 W · 42 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Lakers40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Pacers11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf11c…1290backed Pacers5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lakers38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Lakers39c999.98$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.993450%17 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers61c972.04$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.7673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…1601backed Lakers39c949.08$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.945050%25 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pacers18c925$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x774f…ea29backed Lakers39c922.38$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed Pacers30c914.7$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.632450%12 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Lakers37c894.49$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.457150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6012…7cd2backed Pacers54c831.43$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Lakers80c817.9$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Pacers63c788.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1905…2c5dbacked Lakers60c751.06$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Pacers11c750$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7436434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3e…9032backed Lakers57c731.51$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.55757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers24c700$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.761,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Lakers78c691.14$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1425865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Lakers37c661.62$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.825347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers48c644.55$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Lakers43c625.82$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8256352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Lakers71c620.79$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9570640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pacers61c615$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.1557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4254…e52fbacked Lakers43c607$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Lakers41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3549338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers62c586.09$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.561,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pacers64c577.1$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.3425845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pacers64c574.41$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36515763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pacers22c550$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.547535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Lakers78c533.33$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.785628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2432…ae39backed Pacers59c505.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers50c500.37$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.111,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.