NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24664bf84d8e6b956ebee97e8fa1d362f308fa5bcbe011bf987aa65d5f623ce9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Grizzlies, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,128,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,112,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,128,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x038d…d484backed Grizzlies | 25c | 126,002$31,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,026.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Warriors | 70c | 102,952$72,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,428.65 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Grizzlies | 20c | 80,047$16,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,132.21 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 45,154$12,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,478.72 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Grizzlies | 20c | 43,696$8,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,672.83 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Grizzlies | 29c | 40,484$11,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,833.79 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Warriors | 73c | 32,863$24,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,744 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors | 72c | 29,291$21,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,190.49 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…ae48backed Grizzlies | 27c | 28,490$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 30c | 26,072$7,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.43 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 73c | 21,984$16,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,976.88 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 21,057$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.9 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 24c | 19,830$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Grizzlies | 35c | 17,463$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,025.28 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 75c | 14,649$10,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.58 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Grizzlies | 23c | 12,355$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.65 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Grizzlies | 29c | 10,267$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.54 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Warriors | 69c | 10,139$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.19 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 9,995$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.45 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 30c | 9,676$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.02 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Warriors | 73c | 8,975$6,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.34 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Grizzlies | 12c | 8,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 8,000$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.99 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 28c | 7,670$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.29 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 7,527$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Grizzlies | 17c | 7,014$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.54 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Warriors | 74c | 6,757$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 28c | 6,674$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.11 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Warriors | 72c | 6,599$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.82 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Warriors | 74c | 6,148$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 70c | 6,140$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.15 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 5,224$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.09 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Grizzlies | 11c | 5,181$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.91 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Grizzlies | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.93 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Warriors | 71c | 4,457$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.58 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Grizzlies | 24c | 4,241$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.29 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Warriors | 72c | 4,150$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.4 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 73c | 4,023$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.08 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Warriors | 73c | 4,003$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 71c | 4,000$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.78 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 69c | 3,625$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.66 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Grizzlies | 28c | 3,620$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.39 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Warriors | 72c | 3,569$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.44 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Grizzlies | 22c | 3,533$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.66 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Warriors | 73c | 3,500$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 72c | 3,232$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.9 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Warriors | 76c | 3,223$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.29 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 29c | 3,180$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.67 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Grizzlies | 6c | 3,110$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.81 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 72c | 3,091$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.53 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…9a43backed Grizzlies | 28c | 2,932$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 2,822$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Grizzlies | 29c | 2,813$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.64 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…29eebacked Warriors | 73c | 2,741$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 2,683$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Grizzlies | 29c | 2,576$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Grizzlies | 21c | 2,364$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies | 21c | 2,336$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Warriors | 72c | 2,254$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.98 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Warriors | 73c | 2,229$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.28 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Grizzlies | 24c | 2,221$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.39 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Warriors | 73c | 2,220$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Grizzlies | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 72c | 2,072$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.14 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Warriors | 69c | 2,030$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.09 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Grizzlies | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,937$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.15 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Warriors | 70c | 1,907$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.35 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Warriors | 74c | 1,823$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 1,788$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.24 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Warriors | 76c | 1,773$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 1,702$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 72c | 1,680$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.42 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 30c | 1,666$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 4c | 1,535$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,529$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 1,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.13 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 1,465$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.95 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…46aebacked Grizzlies | 14c | 1,450$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 1,434$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.31 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…c3fbbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 1,428$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,422$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,409$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.56 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Warriors | 72c | 1,390$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.2 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,372$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.24 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Warriors | 74c | 1,350$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.06 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Warriors | 74c | 1,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.38 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Grizzlies | 4c | 1,268$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,267$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.54 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…f71bbacked Warriors | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Warriors | 72c | 1,173$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.41 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…17f3backed Warriors | 73c | 1,170$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.