NFL · resolved market
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29350e02248999a438f4dd16313ea16c48600aa331a204659d86b561ba079d88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Yes | 15c | 1,758$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 59c | 1,673$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…5126backed Yes | 46c | 1,153$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Yes | 15c | 1,001$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…4674backed Yes | 20c | 891$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 75c | 624.92$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed No | 80c | 619$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed No | 55c | 545.01$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…1160backed Yes | 20c | 531$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 80c | 531$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…4df2backed Yes | 20c | 522.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Yes | 25c | 503.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 50c | 500.52$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…73cfbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed Yes | 20c | 499$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 80c | 499$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 7c | 492.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 15c | 316$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…cd15backed Yes | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…0669backed Yes | 49c | 280$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…b072backed Yes | 20c | 273$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed No | 80c | 273$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed No | 80c | 272$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 20c | 262$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed No | 80c | 262$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…131dbacked Yes | 20c | 253$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed No | 80c | 253$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 76c | 246.54$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 53c | 245.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 65c | 221.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 79c | 186.52$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…7418backed Yes | 22c | 181.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Yes | 46c | 151.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…6c86backed Yes | 13c | 149.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…c0b2backed No | 79c | 127.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…b78abacked No | 79c | 124.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Yes | 41c | 124.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…0756backed Yes | 41c | 122.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…0fe3backed Yes | 47c | 105.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 102.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…7e70backed Yes | 33c | 102.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…321abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…663bbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…318bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…edb3backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…0f3abacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…565bbacked Yes | 49c | 98.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…178bbacked Yes | 20c | 94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 15c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…7a55backed No | 55c | 91.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ab…4481backed Yes | 22c | 89.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaded…6fa0backed Yes | 33c | 89.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 64c | 87.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 15c | 87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…31a1backed Yes | 30c | 84.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0e…26afbacked Yes | 24c | 84.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…47b7backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 12c | 81.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 50c | 79.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95c…488dbacked Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…4facbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 61c | 58.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafa7…dfacbacked Yes | 40c | 52.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…9f31backed Yes | 39c | 50.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b5…4447backed Yes | 39c | 50.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…f7b2backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…3dd1backed Yes | 41c | 49.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Yes | 41c | 48.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…050cbacked Yes | 37c | 45.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…48f5backed Yes | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…96dcbacked Yes | 80c | 27.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…a697backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…9e94backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 77c | 16.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked No | 79c | 12.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?this page
- Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Gemini run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.