NFL · resolved market
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f9c1c82457d4389f952c5bda86b33ad3de5daf2e3c7a54eeaa0ff4a69f5ecb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9385…d111backed No | 7c | 27,317$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc6…e106backed No | 1c | 16,326$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…3bbabacked No | 7c | 13,407$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…270dbacked No | 4c | 12,270$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…c476backed No | 7c | 10,875$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598d…7bc9backed No | 3c | 10,324$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…f91fbacked No | 3c | 9,049$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840b…86acbacked No | 2c | 8,998$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked No | 9c | 8,270$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 3c | 7,870$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked No | 3c | 6,373$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 55c | 6,337$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…bc74backed No | 3c | 5,922$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 3c | 5,688$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 20c | 5,523$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.79 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked No | 3c | 5,436$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 30c | 4,980$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.49 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a02…5fe6backed No | 2c | 4,805$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 4,681$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a0…bbcfbacked No | 2c | 4,557$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…28e2backed No | 5c | 4,448$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…75f2backed No | 7c | 4,413$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked No | 1c | 4,124$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 1c | 3,979$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…79fabacked No | 2c | 3,875$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 14c | 3,756$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.66 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 3c | 3,661$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…9023backed No | 3c | 3,281$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…05d8backed No | 2c | 3,186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…ebbabacked No | 4c | 3,154$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 3c | 2,957$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…4a6cbacked No | 3c | 2,859$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…a4babacked No | 1c | 2,793$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked No | 3c | 2,665$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 2,362$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…6c4ebacked No | 2c | 2,302$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f870backed No | 3c | 2,269$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 2,250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa331…f2d2backed No | 2c | 2,186$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…93c0backed No | 3c | 1,925$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…6636backed No | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 1,812$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 1,801$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…6bc9backed No | 2c | 1,656$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 30c | 1,515$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.82 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…f754backed No | 2c | 1,456$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bed…57a2backed No | 3c | 1,430$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9496…0532backed No | 4c | 1,393$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…85fcbacked No | 1c | 1,388$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…79f6backed No | 4c | 1,167$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked Yes | 55c | 1,086$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.77 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 9c | 1,054$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 45c | 939.25$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.66 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffb…5a1dbacked No | 2c | 852.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…0b3bbacked No | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b2…46e4backed No | 2c | 823.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0680…0141backed No | 2c | 724$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked No | 3c | 649.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…a5d3backed No | 3c | 550$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…f664backed No | 4c | 510$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 7c | 500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…48a9backed No | 5c | 494$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…3f54backed No | 5c | 491.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0908…0207backed No | 4c | 483.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff1…c85ebacked No | 3c | 483.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 3c | 433.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…534fbacked No | 17c | 410$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…c623backed No | 7c | 405.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 39c | 393.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…00a7backed No | 5c | 370.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 63c | 364.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…e23abacked Yes | 63c | 315.42$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1116…b2f4backed No | 10c | 297$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed No | 43c | 287.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…805cbacked No | 44c | 280$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 73c | 272.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 37c | 255$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 9c | 188.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 54c | 181.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b7e6backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 57c | 142.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 65c | 129.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…3fb2backed Yes | 58c | 100.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 49c | 96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…0669backed Yes | 65c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…669bbacked No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 41c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 57c | 52.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…b9a2backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…5afabacked No | 29c | 48.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?this page
- Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Gemini run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.