NFL · resolved market
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa08e4ae407073f8cd1acdc1abcf39547fe417185f624a0be86d0a37720cf6736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 59c | 8,223$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.77 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1893…01d9backed Yes | 40c | 5,169$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 62c | 2,791$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 9c | 1,171$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…eea1backed Yes | 44c | 1,140$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…b072backed Yes | 22c | 1,086$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65f…988bbacked Yes | 50c | 919.93$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 22c | 869$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 23c | 854$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 41c | 784$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed No | 77c | 737$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Yes | 33c | 719.7$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…2d78backed Yes | 42c | 712.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 64c | 707.75$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…2c97backed Yes | 54c | 700.91$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…9c04backed Yes | 36c | 692.76$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 22c | 636$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 34c | 628$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 78c | 613$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 59c | 598.67$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.58 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…3037backed No | 78c | 523$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed No | 59c | 518$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked Yes | 49c | 512.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 68c | 504.52$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed No | 78c | 483$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes | 22c | 471$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked No | 78c | 471$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…0669backed Yes | 48c | 451.79$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…0137backed No | 78c | 443$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 62c | 412.48$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked No | 78c | 409$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed Yes | 23c | 401$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked No | 77c | 401$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…0b3bbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 66c | 382$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…81e4backed Yes | 22c | 364$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 78c | 364$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +210.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 75c | 332.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 29c | 313.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…2867backed Yes | 34c | 313$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed No | 66c | 313$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 77c | 307$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 23c | 307$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 29c | 288.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 69c | 274.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c7…554dbacked Yes | 18c | 269.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 51c | 266$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed No | 59c | 266$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked No | 66c | 246$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f93bbacked Yes | 44c | 228.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…e615backed Yes | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Yes | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 46c | 211$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a7…88c8backed Yes | 37c | 207.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…0c7fbacked Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 31c | 200$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…7d8ebacked Yes | 50c | 197.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 25c | 181.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Yes | 39c | 176.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 66c | 162.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…c9b2backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 56c | 152$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 16c | 147.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 67c | 142.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…d95cbacked Yes | 36c | 138.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 59c | 133.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed No | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…baebbacked Yes | 34c | 117.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed No | 77c | 117$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…0756backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 112$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…188abacked Yes | 37c | 107.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…da9dbacked Yes | 49c | 100.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7041…98d0backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…7a55backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e02…4104backed Yes | 33c | 97.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…a527backed Yes | 40c | 96.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 61c | 95.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 66c | 92.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 65c | 91.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 18c | 88.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598d…7bc9backed Yes | 56c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 64c | 83.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…b507backed Yes | 35c | 81.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +104%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed No | 62c | 79.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 66c | 75.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Yes | 36c | 69.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Yes | 35c | 66.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…e224backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…604dbacked Yes | 49c | 64.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked Yes | 31c | 58.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 24c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?this page
- Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Gemini run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.