Movies · resolved market
Deadpool & Wolverine' over $200m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec6d89ee04a7137fce889e6a4e5710b9f6c7b6c604614a20b1dead6107a3dad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5621…04a1backed No | 15c | 19,091$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed No | 70c | 14,033$9,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,828.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 50c | 11,869$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.2 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 1c | 11,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked No | 5c | 9,903$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…01aebacked No | 18c | 9,589$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ef…b1ddbacked No | 11c | 7,302$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 47c | 7,176$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.9 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed No | 61c | 7,153$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.65 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed No | 34c | 5,271$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 41c | 5,223$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.59 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…d00fbacked No | 29c | 4,232$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…3873backed Yes | 66c | 3,271$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 33c | 2,967$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed No | 71c | 2,681$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…6501backed No | 10c | 2,425$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…1c44backed Yes | 32c | 2,195$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb206…f717backed No | 48c | 2,038$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked No | 25c | 1,988$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fc60backed No | 57c | 1,966$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked No | 43c | 1,903$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 57c | 1,450$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.86 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 69c | 1,353$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.28 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked No | 64c | 1,351$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 1c | 1,335$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 63c | 1,306$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.89 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 15c | 1,222$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 76c | 1,181$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.26 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 20c | 1,041$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 30c | 1,015$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…2c66backed Yes | 28c | 985.03$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 20cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb33b…092fbacked No | 11c | 955.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…7b12backed Yes | 49c | 950.54$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 66c | 947.12$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.96 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 24c | 890.32$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.1 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 80c | 859.58$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d66backed No | 9c | 809.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…34ddbacked No | 8c | 789.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 35c | 789.52$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.29 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 70c | 700.26$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…eb7ebacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed No | 58c | 559.84$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 38c | 540.92$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…90bebacked Yes | 37c | 534.55$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…bdccbacked Yes | 37c | 519.57$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…b660backed No | 66c | 508.67$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…b218backed No | 25c | 502$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20fd…91c7backed No | 57c | 435.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…3625backed No | 12c | 410.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…91f1backed Yes | 42c | 405.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 55c | 387.91$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.63 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…0945backed No | 15c | 381.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed No | 12c | 359.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 64c | 358.58$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.49 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 61c | 355.66$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes | 19c | 353.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 47c | 344.64$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.07 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…fcbcbacked Yes | 41c | 333.53$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…5c0cbacked No | 11c | 326.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dea…2191backed No | 31c | 322.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…1035backed Yes | 17c | 319.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +481.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60a…f2cfbacked No | 47c | 308.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…f50bbacked Yes | 66c | 303.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked No | 15c | 299.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc473…6289backed No | 7c | 298.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…4206backed Yes | 79c | 295.16$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c1…8cdabacked No | 53c | 276.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…8fbfbacked No | 7c | 269.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…5622backed Yes | 67c | 268.04$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8c…6f74backed Yes | 16c | 257.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked No | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03da…7907backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…9b0cbacked No | 6c | 249.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked No | 11c | 248.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5143…432ebacked Yes | 24c | 243.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…6600backed Yes | 37c | 242.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…f554backed Yes | 41c | 232.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…5836backed Yes | 46c | 217.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed No | 9c | 216.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Yes | 40c | 215.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 68c | 215.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 69c | 210.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…616dbacked Yes | 24c | 208$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed Yes | 79c | 197.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked No | 59c | 195.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70c…07a4backed Yes | 41c | 181.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f73…ced3backed No | 20c | 173.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…56d8backed No | 35c | 163.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca8…fad7backed Yes | 42c | 161.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…f9e6backed No | 69c | 157.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 57c | 156.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…362cbacked Yes | 42c | 152.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf724…a39ebacked No | 59c | 150.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f1…7b16backed Yes | 31c | 150$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 61c | 148.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.