Premier League · resolved market
Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5894405d04d5b923f36c63dfc88042620930d62417a580f47ffc7cc32c5520ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 1c | 23,901$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.01 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked Yes | 73c | 10,743$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes | 39c | 8,000$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 61c | 4,844$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.08 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 66c | 4,671$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.18 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 30c | 4,444$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 30c | 4,287$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.92 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 50c | 3,985$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.91 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked No | 2c | 3,125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…adfdbacked Yes | 70c | 2,357$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 44c | 2,339$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.16 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…33c1backed Yes | 69c | 2,193$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 70c | 1,974$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +883.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…6209backed Yes | 71c | 1,609$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 65c | 1,600$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…6caebacked No | 35c | 1,440$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,206$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.52 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Yes | 60c | 1,200$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked No | 19c | 1,196$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 56c | 1,164$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.27 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…c3d4backed No | 30c | 1,111$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Yes | 41c | 1,045$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…e5a4backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…d083backed No | 68c | 996.94$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 31c | 956.6$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 36c | 925.68$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.44 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…c354backed Yes | 73c | 875.41$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c83…e19dbacked Yes | 36c | 840.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 57c | 699.42$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.67 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 15c | 690.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0786backed Yes | 74c | 676.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 34c | 647.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…eb1abacked No | 51c | 546.18$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 32c | 529.27$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.47 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed Yes | 36c | 515$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 37c | 482.84$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.31 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe2…580abacked Yes | 42c | 480.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…222abacked Yes | 70c | 475.71$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 24c | 445.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 31c | 440$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.4 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…d549backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed No | 70c | 400.91$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.64 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Yes | 66c | 399.52$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes | 33c | 328.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…56f8backed Yes | 34c | 323.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…dcf4backed Yes | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…a7dcbacked No | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…b863backed Yes | 39c | 287.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 34c | 267.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 29c | 263.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 66c | 241.51$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…5538backed Yes | 35c | 231.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 28c | 202$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked Yes | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…f74dbacked Yes | 35c | 173.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 10c | 170.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 32c | 165.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…9236backed Yes | 72c | 161.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…81ddbacked Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496a…6eeebacked Yes | 34c | 147$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…b2b6backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…f71abacked Yes | 70c | 141.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Yes | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…1a62backed No | 49c | 135.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 32c | 135.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…9eebbacked Yes | 45c | 127.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked No | 55c | 127.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0e…1dccbacked Yes | 37c | 124.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 63c | 124.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…40f5backed Yes | 54c | 123.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…4132backed No | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…e0fbbacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…9f23backed No | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 31c | 107.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Yes | 73c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…abb8backed Yes | 34c | 103.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +176.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab01…882cbacked Yes | 80c | 100.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…0df4backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…a11bbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ee…fbe9backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…9f96backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +197.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Yes | 41c | 96.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…fc8ebacked Yes | 32c | 96.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f12backed Yes | 32c | 96.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…33c8backed Yes | 29c | 96.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…bb04backed Yes | 39c | 94.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…c806backed Yes | 38c | 94.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…b894backed Yes | 33c | 93.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…b63bbacked Yes | 39c | 92.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3a…1ab8backed Yes | 71c | 87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…79e0backed No | 33c | 85.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…99e6backed Yes | 36c | 82.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?this page
- Will Australia win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Brazil win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Canada win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will France win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Germany win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Japan win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Spain win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will another country win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.