Premier League · resolved market
Will Brazil win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb65fd8a28bda8a9bc28e0491db4d24bd6d90cae88161bb6c83e34c9c22cdcc9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Yes | 47c | 118,051$55,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,366.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 53c | 54,221$28,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,429.76 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 15c | 5,500$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 32c | 4,500$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.11 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a694backed Yes | 32c | 4,023$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…33c1backed No | 70c | 3,572$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 14c | 3,516$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.73 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 68c | 3,338$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.07 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 3,098$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…1738backed Yes | 35c | 3,080$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…42adbacked Yes | 22c | 2,366$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d96…91f6backed No | 71c | 1,498$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…bfd6backed Yes | 1c | 1,381$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 28c | 1,080$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.31 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 61c | 1,055$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.93 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 2c | 1,039$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…eca4backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Yes | 35c | 953.65$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 3c | 938.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 33c | 869.24$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…cbdfbacked Yes | 32c | 800$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 67c | 735.49$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Yes | 31c | 646.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 69c | 580$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +883.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 79c | 518.42$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 52c | 506.91$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.91 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed No | 68c | 485.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…baefbacked Yes | 7c | 456.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked No | 71c | 400$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 18c | 341.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…6c34backed Yes | 31c | 324.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…5a8ebacked Yes | 19c | 311.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…2addbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…eb1abacked Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…3956backed Yes | 5c | 206.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 52c | 203.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…5811backed Yes | 32c | 158.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Yes | 30c | 158.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 48c | 105.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…3f54backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 26c | 84.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…9bb9backed Yes | 35c | 80.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 32c | 75.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…7c89backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd4…50fabacked Yes | 24c | 67.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…2c81backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a3…d74fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ca…b9f9backed Yes | 32c | 63.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 32c | 62.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…9909backed Yes | 39c | 51.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…0f9cbacked Yes | 42c | 47.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed No | 71c | 42.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…0ae3backed Yes | 34c | 37.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…1a62backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed No | 70c | 28.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?this page
- Will Australia win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Canada win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will France win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Germany win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Japan win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Spain win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will another country win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.