TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Spain win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8c8…7407backed Yes25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed Yes33c2,049$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.166248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes40c1,805$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.8415337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes33c1,362$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.76636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed Yes35c1,330$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.81323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-57.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No65c1,283$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.111931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes33c946.05$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.235450%27 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed Yes34c936.04$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.832458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+193.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6691…17cfbacked Yes6c892.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5450%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c83…e19dbacked Yes35c861.29$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…e5a4backed Yes40c732$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes28c681.66$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1315328.8%44 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes34c675.4$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…88fbbacked No75c565.08$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7d…0ab0backed Yes35c555.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes3c535.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked No61c427.26$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa346…baefbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes29c315.66$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.523023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fa8…b863backed Yes39c284.62$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes31c276.48$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0512959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes34c255.38$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.722532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1180…8e39backed Yes34c252.94$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes35c220$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5629653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1b4…eaccbacked Yes38c195$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf1…16b1backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0060…eb25backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ec…8692backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bda…4054backed Yes38c136$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4768…01aebacked Yes38c134$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb5…62aabacked Yes29c117.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e5…a0c6backed Yes35c100.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3048…6b54backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7aa…c005backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbee…dcf4backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…fba2backed No62c98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab4…b872backed Yes36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x647f…4092backed Yes35c97.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…816abacked No62c97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+127.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x801a…b568backed Yes33c96.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb743…352fbacked Yes52c95.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1bc…2dd1backed Yes33c94.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ce…f7cbbacked Yes33c90.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a36…559bbacked Yes33c90.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c9…e0f6backed Yes43c90.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558c…c433backed Yes62c88.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.592661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8e…c9bbbacked Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdaf…dd8cbacked Yes45c80.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes34c73.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.119861.2%60 W · 38 L+12.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7606…99e6backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9010…a46cbacked No62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…cc0dbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x407f…013cbacked No62c68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44c…a1b9backed No62c68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9193…215dbacked Yes28c67.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x521c…00fdbacked Yes30c67.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88e8…e6b9backed No62c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf21d…d8f4backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4842…7c89backed Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No70c59.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.978254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe185…2c81backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe535…1a23backed No73c52.79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdd…c6c3backed Yes31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ed…abe0backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac5…463cbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d8…3648backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8024…ba91backed Yes28c46.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9775…20e1backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7ffbbacked Yes33c39.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8249…0336backed Yes33c36.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.446350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x964a…df42backed Yes35c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes45c33.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.366747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x896b…11c4backed Yes35c29.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf087…40f5backed No66c26.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.015100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c78…20afbacked No73c26.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9efd…431fbacked Yes42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb217…9bcdbacked No67c19.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.36366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bf…b15dbacked No73c19.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa24…996bbacked No65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.