Olympics · resolved market
Will France win Gold in Women's Basketball?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82873dcd25879dda82196711e0a3aed998605b88e701c5f6b95cd894e9836bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x484f…277cbacked Yes | 6c | 16,936$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 15,020$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.85 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 3c | 10,355$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 6c | 10,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…2dd5backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 5c | 5,797$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…704cbacked Yes | 10c | 5,251$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…9002backed Yes | 4c | 5,018$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 2c | 4,848$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…acefbacked Yes | 18c | 4,387$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,457$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…f234backed Yes | 10c | 3,344$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.69 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a27…dd85backed Yes | 18c | 3,291$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed Yes | 5c | 3,179$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…6c73backed Yes | 0c | 3,051$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,997$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…bfd6backed Yes | 9c | 2,892$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…4a81backed Yes | 7c | 2,500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 13c | 2,401$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,238$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…3956backed Yes | 3c | 1,896$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…78d3backed Yes | 7c | 1,798$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…425bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes | 7c | 1,449$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4593…2e8cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,252$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes | 37c | 1,200$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yes | 2c | 1,125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…7fc1backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 6c | 699.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 15c | 660.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…1305backed Yes | 3c | 656.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 10c | 614.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 2c | 609.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b9…6df8backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 76c | 544.7$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…9387backed Yes | 9c | 536.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 78c | 532.95$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…0ff3backed Yes | 19c | 531.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…62aabacked Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cc…29b3backed Yes | 11c | 462.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…ee83backed Yes | 9c | 454.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 15c | 439.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…8911backed Yes | 10c | 405.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc0…cf33backed Yes | 4c | 403.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…dd32backed No | 75c | 400$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…9516backed Yes | 7c | 396.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…d170backed Yes | 8c | 385.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf76…5634backed Yes | 9c | 344.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed Yes | 7c | 324.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…1935backed Yes | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…e30ebacked Yes | 8c | 299.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…622ebacked Yes | 8c | 299.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 8c | 288.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 19c | 266.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Yes | 43c | 230.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…a975backed Yes | 10c | 209.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Yes | 7c | 205.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…45e5backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…fc4cbacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 25c | 189.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…1206backed Yes | 8c | 185.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393f…ed3dbacked Yes | 19c | 185.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…d47cbacked Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…1605backed Yes | 9c | 177$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 29c | 173.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Yes | 7c | 165.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Yes | 18c | 150.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…5305backed Yes | 9c | 136.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…3746backed Yes | 8c | 135.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…da06backed Yes | 8c | 123.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…94ddbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…4bc8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf22…d46ebacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win Gold in Women's Basketball?this page
- Will Australia win Gold in Women's Basketball?No won
- Will Belgium win Gold in Women's Basketball?No won
- Will China win Gold in Women's Basketball?No won
- Will Japan win Gold in Women's Basketball?No won
- Will another counrty win Gold in Women's Basketball?No won
- Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.