Middle East · resolved market
Iran military response by Tuesday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x077190431ea5ca3f75be381169cdf6a39628dbd8dbb866a0efcbe07a0c8c066e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 14c | 16,736$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.52 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 70c | 13,539$9,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.97 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 3c | 9,267$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…bf12backed Yes | 3c | 8,446$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed No | 74c | 6,417$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.81 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…a9e0backed Yes | 16c | 5,998$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.28 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Yes | 10c | 5,031$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 34c | 4,247$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed Yes | 40c | 2,984$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dc…3c76backed Yes | 14c | 2,798$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,756$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed No | 66c | 2,734$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9debbacked No | 72c | 2,171$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,148$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 35c | 2,100$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.24 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4828…ddd9backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 13c | 1,818$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…9f7dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,776$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed No | 65c | 1,614$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb363…4c60backed No | 65c | 1,541$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…0cf4backed Yes | 32c | 1,517$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 67c | 1,517$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…ce63backed Yes | 13c | 1,504$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,433$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 14c | 1,382$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 21c | 1,086$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…75e8backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bf…e42ebacked Yes | 35c | 930.11$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…cd2dbacked Yes | 30c | 870.96$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…ed51backed Yes | 29c | 855$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…16c6backed Yes | 12c | 809.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 30c | 807.04$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 35c | 807$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.45 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked Yes | 4c | 800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…2edabacked Yes | 28c | 721$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…79a3backed Yes | 12c | 701.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 23c | 666$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…8580backed Yes | 14c | 653.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…75cebacked Yes | 11c | 650.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664c…9ec8backed Yes | 39c | 642$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…3a07backed No | 67c | 616$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked No | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 15c | 609.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed No | 71c | 600$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…c13ebacked Yes | 14c | 587.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…6acbbacked No | 76c | 572.01$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9d…07f7backed No | 67c | 557.07$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…9750backed Yes | 4c | 514.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…8b7bbacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 13c | 493.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1463…b1bdbacked Yes | 47c | 418.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x529a…555bbacked Yes | 5c | 407.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…f180backed No | 75c | 399.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…caa8backed No | 75c | 399.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 63c | 395.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x015c…6f19backed No | 77c | 389.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 77c | 388.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed No | 62c | 385.83$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90de…0a6dbacked No | 59c | 373.26$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b8…dcfdbacked Yes | 11c | 366.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1459…ab65backed No | 64c | 364.69$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…edf9backed No | 63c | 349.25$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 25c | 349.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc9…148ebacked Yes | 32c | 310.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…741bbacked No | 64c | 310.25$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…4e0fbacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 68c | 303.13$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68f2…006dbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…63b0backed Yes | 12c | 299.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…0a64backed Yes | 4c | 297.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…2ec9backed Yes | 7c | 274.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…1971backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d2…7019backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 61c | 240.02$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 27c | 240$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…4424backed Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 31c | 229.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8016…9894backed No | 77c | 229.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a4…647abacked Yes | 32c | 211.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…8c05backed Yes | 35c | 208$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 65c | 207.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…770dbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…ed4fbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb94…649ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…88a0backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…6f70backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 36c | 188.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…e30ebacked Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked No | 65c | 170.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…6424backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8114backed No | 63c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…9587backed Yes | 13c | 159.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2259…cba4backed Yes | 10c | 156.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…76e2backed Yes | 32c | 155.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.